Summary: Today we ask about the future of the GOP, and America. Are they ascendant, or a list gasp of a dying ideology? We ask the mineshaft! As in “ask the community”, from the German “Gemeinschaft” (see Wikipedia). Post your answer in the comments.
To help you better understand the world, the FM website takes clear positions on current events — and sometimes makes bold predictions about the future. The results appear in the Past Predictions (wins) and Smackdowns pages. Here we discuss a prediction about a vital question, asking if my prediction so far looks accurate or wrong.
The GOP ran a disastrous campaign in 2008. Two days before the election I outlined two paths the GOP might take after defeat.
- Door #1: Purge the Party’s membership, keeping only the faithful
- Door #2: reflection and rebuilding
I cited a large body of GOP defectors predicting the GOP would take door #1, leading to its doom. Other posts (see below) explored the likely consequences.
The GOP did take door #1, with the rise of the Tea Party, purging of moderates (ie, center-right), and radicalizing of its platform — to the point of madness, a large-scale disconnect from reality seen by its leaders, pundits, and candidates. It’s visible almost each day in the headlines.
But instead of collapse, they gained power in the 2010 elections. Since then trends in both Congress and the Courts suggest a movement ascendant — not in decline. Polls show America even split between the two parties, an unusual degree of balance between them.