This reference page provides links to articles discussing a strike at Iran by the US or Israel.
Contents
- Background Information about Iran
- Posts about Iran
- About Iran’s nukes
- Information operations to build support for war with Iran
- About the conflict with Iran
- Posts about a strike by the US at Iran
- Posts about a strike by Isreal at Iran
- Strafor about Iran’s atomic programs
- Articles about a war with Iran
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(1) Background Information about Iran
- “Iran’s oil and gas wealth“, US Congress Joint Economic Committee, March 2006 (4 pages)
- “Iran, Country Analysis Brief“, US Energy Information Agency (EIA), October 2007 (17 pages)
- Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities, National Intelligence Estimate, November 2007
- “The Future of Gulf Security in a Region of Dramatic Change – Mutual Equities and Enduring Relationships“, RAND, 2011
- Archive of IAEA reports about Iran
Not specifically about Iran, but very relevant to this discussion: Debunking Myths About Nuclear Weapons and Terrorism“, Stratfor, 29 May 2009.
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(2) Posts about Iran
- Is Pakistan’s Musharraf like the Shah of Iran? (if so, bad news for us) , 8 November 2007
- War with Iran, based on things that are not so , 9 November 2007 — Why Iran is not necessarily our enemy.
- Is Iran dangerous, or a paper tiger? , 13 November 2007
- Iran – a key state to watch as the new world order evolves, 3 March 2009
- Update: war watch – Iran, 29 September 2009
- More about Iran, things you know that might not be so, 3 October 2009
- Stratfor: “Two Leaks and the Deepening Iran Crisis”, 7 October 2009
- The CIA’s forecast about the Iranian Revolution – and the revolution prediction tool, 6 January 2010
- Stratfor thinks about the unthinkable: a U.S.-Iranian deal, 6 March 2010
- About the escalating conflict with Iran (not *yet* open war), 4 January 2012
- Have Iran’s leaders vowed to destroy Israel?, 5 January 2012 — No, but it’s established as fact by repetition
- What the conflict with Iran can teach us about modern State-to-State war, 16 January 2012
- Has Iran won a round vs. the US-Israel?, 17 January 2012
- Is Killing Iranian Nuclear Scientists Terrorism?, 19 January 2012
- What is Iran’s 9-point plan to destroy Israel?
- Machiavelli warns us against listening to Iran’s exiled terrorists
- Stratfor: what the Iran deal means for oil prices.
- Stratfor: how the Iran deal will change the long-term price of oil.
- Stratfor: The Middle East Recalibrates After the Nuclear Deal with Iran, 31 July 2015.
- Stratfor describes the Middle East – after the Iran deal, 30 August 2015.
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(3) About Iran’s nukes
- The new NIE, another small step in the Decline of the State , 10 December 2007
- ISIS: “Can Military Strikes Destroy Iran’s Gas Centrifuge Program? Probably Not.”, 8 August 2008
- Iran’s getting the bomb, or so we’re told. Can they fool us twice?, 16 January 2009
- Jeremy Hammond explains why Iran’s New Nuclear Site is “Much Ado About Nothing”, 30 September 2009
- Follow-up on America’s latest wetting our pants episode: Iran’s secret atomic facility, 13 November 2009
- Iran will have the bomb in 5 years (again), 21 January 2010 — Forecasts of an Iranian bomb really soon, going back to 1984
- What do we know about Iran’s nuclear ambitions?, 6 January 2012 — US intelligence officials are clear: not as much as the news media implies
- What does the IAEA know about Iran’s nuclear program?, 9 January 2012 — Their reports bear little resemblance to reports in the news media
- What happens when a nation gets nukes? Sixty years of history suggests an answer., 10 January 2012
- What happens if Iran gets nukes? Not what we’ve been told., 11 January 2012
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(4) Information operations to build support for war with Iran
- 4GW at work in a community near you , 19 October 2007 — Propaganda warming us up for war with Iran.
- Does reading Debkafile make us smarter, or dumber?, 15 June 2008
- The most expensive psy-war campaign – ever!, 13 July 2008
- Will trade sanctions work against Iran, as they did against Japan in 1941?, 27 August 2008
- Psywar, a core skill of the US Military (used most often on us), 26 November 2008
- Iran’s getting the bomb, or so we’re told. Can they fool us twice?, 16 February 2009
- This is how a nation thoughtlessly slides into stupid wars, 25 July 2010
- The Iranian Assassination caper was a complete success!, 17 October 2011
- Iran: War Drums Beating, 9 February 2012
- Israel leads America on a march to war. A march to folly., 16 February 2012
(5) About the conflict with Iran
- The hidden objective of our alliance against Iran, 11 June 2012
- Threats to attack Iran are smoke. Sanctions on Iran are our tool. Weakening Iran is our goal., 14 June 2012
- Hegemon at work on Iran, doing what hegemonic powers do. No war needed – or likely., 17 July 2012
- Our crusade slowly crushes Iran, and reveals much about us, 8 October 2012
- Reviewing Netanyahu’s performance before Congress: 1st class fear-mongering!, 3 March 2015
- John Bolton reveals a serious threat to America., 26 March 2015
- Obama’s great deal with Iran: getting Iran’s “yes” was the easy part., 3 April 2015.
- The hawks’ weird story about Iran’s seizure of 2 US navy boats, 30 January 2016.
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(6) About a strike by the US at Iran
- A 4GW puzzle: what happened in the Straits of Hormuz? , 17 January 2008
- Cable Cut Fever grips the conspiracy-hungry fringes of the web , 7 February 2008
- Resolution of the Great Submarine Cable Crisis – and some lessons learned , 8 February 2008
- Stratfor’s analysis of US reasons for invading and occupying Iraq , 4 March 2008
- Will we bomb Iran, now that Admiral Fallon is gone? , 17 March 2008
- More post-Fallon overheating: “6 signs the US may be headed for war in Iran” , 18 March 2008
- A militant America, ready for war with Iran , 6 May 2008
- Another step towards war with Iran?, 7 May 2008 — About Andrew Cockburn’s article in Counterpunch.
- “War With Iran Might Be Closer Than You Think”, 13 May 2008 — About Philip Giraldi’s 9 May story in The American Conservative (see below).
- More rumors of war: our naval armada has sailed to Iran!, 9 August 2008
- Update on the rumored armada sailing to Iran, 13 August 2008
- Stop the presses: no naval armada has sailed to blockade Iran!, 20 August 2008
- Proposed legislation prepares the way for war with Iran!, 25 August 2008
- Is the War on Terror over (because there are no longer two sides)? Part 1, 3 September 2008 — Rumors of covert ops by us against Iran.
- Update on the prospects of war with Iran, from Stratfor, 6 September 2008
- Another general advocating war with Iran, 18 August 2009
- “Iraq Endgame” by George Friedman, 22 August 2009
- Stratfor: “Two Leaks and the Deepening Iran Crisis”, 7 October 2009
- Stratfor thinks about the unthinkable: a U.S.-Iranian deal, 6 March 2010
- Will Obama attack Iran?, 18 March 2010
- The rumors about a US strike are proven wrong, again., 12 July 2010
- America takes another step towards war with Iran, towards the dark side, 3 September 2010
- Continuity and dysfunctionality in US foreign policy (lessons for our conflict with Iran), 13 January 2012 — Insights about today from Cold War strategist Colin Grey
- Has Iran won a round vs. US-Israel?, 17 January 2012
- Iran: War Drums Beating, 9 February 2012
- The hidden objective of our alliance against Iran, 11 June 2012
- Threats to attack Iran are smoke. Sanctions on Iran are our tool. Weakening Iran is our goal., 14 June 2012
- Hegemon at work on Iran, doing what hegemonic powers do. No war needed – or likely., 17 July 2012
- Our crusade slowly crushes Iran, and reveals much about us, 8 October 2012
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(7) About a strike by Israel at Iran
- Will Israel commit suicide? More rumors of a strike at Iran , 22 December 2007
- Does reading Debkafile make us smarter, or dumber?, 15 June 2008
- A new story about a possible war with Iran, 21 May 2008 — About the 20 May Jerusalem Post story, originally reported by Army Radio (see below).
- “As things look, Israel may well attack Iran soon”. 3 June 2008 — About the Fischer story in the 30 May Daily Star.
- “Attacking Iran, in order to stop its nuclear plans, will be unavoidable” . 8 June 2008 — War-talk by a former Defense Minster of Israel.
- Der Spiegel: “Israeli Ministers Mull Plans for Military Strike against Iran”. 17 June 2008 — Rumors in Der Spiegel of a strike by Israel on Iran.
- More rumors of a strike at Iran by Israel, 1 July 2008 — More rumors.
- Leaks about a possible strike at Iran (this is a hot issue), 7 July 2008 — Leaks of concerns about the effectiveness of a strike by Israel, and the consequences.
- The most expensive psy-war campaign – ever!, 13 July 2008
- ISIS: “Can Military Strikes Destroy Iran’s Gas Centrifuge Program? Probably Not.”, 8 August 2008
- Hot news about a possible strike at Iran!, 3 July 2010
- Warning of an imminent strike at Iran by Israel, 4 August 2010
- Are Israel’s leaders insane? Jeffrey Goldberg thinks so., 1 August 2010
- Has Iran won a round vs. the US-Israel?, 17 January 2012
- Is Killing Iranian Nuclear Scientists Terrorism?, 19 January 2012 — By Kevin Jon Heller (Senior Lecturer at Melbourne Law School)
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(8) Stratfor’s articles about Iran’s atomic projects
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- Iran, U.S.: The Intelligence Problem, 4 September 2009
- Iran: The Significance of a Second Site, 25 September 2009
- Iran Sanctions: An Introduction, 22 September 2009
- Iran Sanctions, Part 1: The Nuts and Bolts, 23 September 2009
- Iran Sanctions, Part 2: FSU Contingency Plans, 24 September 2009
- Iran Sanctions, Part 3: Preparing for the Worst, 25 September 2009
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(8) Articles about a war with Iran
- “Deep Background“, Philip Giraldi, The American Conservative, 1 August 2005 — “In Case of Emergency, Nuke Iran”
- “The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Better“, Kenneth Waltz, Adelphi Papers #171 (London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1981)
- “The Secrets of the Bomb“, Jeremy Bernstein, New York Review of Books, 25 May 2006 — About nuclear intelligence.
- “The Iranian Challenge“, Trita Parsi, The Nation, 1 November 2007 — “Trita Parsi outlines the steps toward a sane relationship between the US and Iran.”
- “What Will Israel Do?“, Michael Hirsh, Newsweek, 20 December 2007 — “A unilateral military strike against Iran is much more likely following the latest intel report about Tehran’s nuke program.”
- “6 Signs the U.S. May Be Headed for War in Iran“, US News and World Report, 11 March 2008
- “Secret Bush “Finding” Widens War on Iran“, Andrew Cockburn, Counterpunch, 2 May 2008 — “Democrats Okay Funds for Covert Ops”
- “War With Iran Might Be Closer Than You Think“, Philip Giraldi, The American Conservative, 9 May 2008
- “White House denies Iran attack report“, Jerusalem Post, 20 May 2008
- “As things look, Israel may well attack Iran soon“, Joschka Fischer, The Daily Star, 30 May 2008 — Fischer was Germany’s foreign minister and vice chancellor from 1998 to 2005, and led Germany’s Green Party for nearly 20 years.
- “Closing Time: Assessing the Iranian Threat to the Strait of Hormuz“, Caitlin Talmadge, International Security, Summer 2008
- As Iran Tests Missile Fleet, Experts Map High-Tech Israeli Attack“, Popular Mechanics, 9 July 2008
- “Can Military Strikes Destroy Iran’s Gas Centrifuge Program? Probably Not.”, David Albright, Paul Brannan and Jacqueline Shire, Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), 7 August 2008, 15 pages — Here is the link, 2.2 meg PDF. About the ISIS.
- “Observing the Iwo Jima Expeditionary Strike Group“, Galrahn at Information Dissemination (a professional navy centric blog), 26 August 2008 — At the end is an analysis of land forces (esp Marines) needed to secure the Straits of Hormuz during a war with Iran. The best I have seen on the subject.
- “Study on a Possible Israeli Strike on Iran’s Nuclear Development Facilities“, Anthony H. Cordesman and Abdullah Toukan, Center for Strategic & International Studies, 16 March 2009
- “Iran’s New Nuclear Site: Much Ado About Nothing“, Jeremy R. Hammond, Foreign Policy Journal, 27 September 2009
- “The Iranian Nuclear Program, Sanctions, and the Lessons of Iraq“, Bernard Finel at his blog, 28 September 2009