Recession Watch: the economic indicators that show what’s coming

Summary: As the expansion ages and growth slows, we should begin to watch for signs that the next recession approaches. Here are some tips for doing so without spending much time at it -- avoiding the complacency of Wall Street's economists and the exaggerated darkness of the popular permabears (such as Zero Hedge). {2nd of … Continue reading Recession Watch: the economic indicators that show what’s coming

Why the turkey is not our national bird, and why America belongs to us

Thanksgiving is one of America's few meaningful holidays in a nation that has been blessed with incredible natural resources and even more incredible good luck at key points in our history. But our greatest resource is one we have built for ourselves: America's strong social cohesion. Our ability to stand together has carried us through … Continue reading Why the turkey is not our national bird, and why America belongs to us

We live in the now. That makes it difficult for us to learn.

Summary: Can we cope with the challenges of the 21st century? If not, why? These are among the questions most worth asking, although lost in the tide of factoids and daily trivia that fill the news. Here are some examples that suggest one of our core problems: we live in the now and so find … Continue reading We live in the now. That makes it difficult for us to learn.

Recession Watch: Falling Commodity Prices to Hurt America

Economic indicators are like biosigns of a living organism. They signal changes in complex systems that we cannot directly say and don't well understand. The top rule is that rapid change in key indicators shows destabilizing forces at work, despite the complacency with which they're usually seen by economists. We see this in the on-going … Continue reading Recession Watch: Falling Commodity Prices to Hurt America

A New America arises, perhaps with Trump as its first leader

Summary: Updates on two predictions I've made, each a window into the New America now arising on the ruins of the old. What horrific attacks has China made on America with the information hacked from the government's files? When will the Donald flame out, leaving the Presidential campaign safely in the hands of stuffed shirts … Continue reading A New America arises, perhaps with Trump as its first leader