Lessons Learned from the American Expedition to Iraq

The mainstream media remains focused on assigning blame for the war, with occasional reports on current events and discussions of exit strategies.  Let’s attempt to see the bigger picture. Defeat seems the appropriate description for the American expedition to Iraq. Consider the cost!  Hundreds of billions of dollars spent, all in effect borrowed from Asia.  …

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Forecasts for the American Expedition to Iraq

What comes next in Iraq? Here are some straight-line extrapolations. Nothing certain, but these seem like good bets. 1.  American public support for the Iraq War has evolved to the tipping point — the critical level at which mainstream politicos move to explicit opposition. In this sense Iraq is a second Vietnam: a foreign war …

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The Real Revolution in Military Affairs (it’s not what you think)

Summary: one of the most important and least discussed changes in the nature of warfare is who does the fighting. Women and children acting as soldiers are not unknown in the past, but never with such a large and increasing role. Their participation changes the very nature of war, with effects today we can only …

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The Rioting in France and the Decline of the State

 In many nations, both rich and poor, the State’s governing mechanisms remain strong; but its hold on the hearts of its subjects weakens every generation. And it was only that loyalty that allowed the machinery to get built. When that loyalty goes, this machinery will seize up and then rust away. The Decline of the …

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The Plame Affair and the Decline of the State

Here are some speculative thoughts on the Plame Affair seen through the prism of two familiar DNI themes: the Decline of the State and 4GW.  We will start slowly, attempting to clear away details that obscure the important underlying meanings.What is the Plame affair not about? 1.  This is not a policy dispute, certainly not …

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