This is a defining moment in Iraq. The next six months will be crucial. Again. And Again.

Summary:  This is from the FM archive, written in November 2006.  It’s apt today.  It’s the first in a series about the Iraq War.  Links to the other chapters appear at the end. This essay gives 52 quotes from the members of our ruling elites, their forecasts about the Iraq War.   What conclusions can we draw from …

This is a defining moment in Iraq. The next six months will be crucial. Again. And Again. Read More »

Kubler-Ross gives us a perspective on the evolution of the Iraq War

Summary:  This is the introduction to a series about the Iraq War, a brief on the key aspects of the War.  What stage are we in?  What do we expect to happen next?  Links to the other chapters appear at the end. As many 4GW experts forecast, the western nations’ (largely US and UK) Expedition to Iraq …

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The Fate of Israel

Summary:  This is chapter two in a series of articles about grand strategy in our era, when 4GW has become the dominate form of war. This post shows the difficulty of distinguishing strong from weak in 4GW, and that choosing a wrong grand strategy can be terminal for a state.  It could easily prove fatal for …

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Forecasts – Why wait? Read tomorrow’s news … today! (part 4)

Summary:  Part four of four part series.   Here is part one, part two, and part three. Forecast #5: the next cycle begins There was a dream that was Rome. You could only whisper it. Anything more than a whisper and it would vanish, it was so fragile.      Marcus Aurelius, in the movie Gladiator This coming crisis might test …

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