Prepare for the coming changes. Changes in everything.

Summary: After the long summer for America, a benign period of slow evolution, a new season has begun. It will be a time of rapid and unpredictable changes. We can only guess at its nature – and probably cannot imagine its results. But we can see that it is coming, and its broad outline. That allows us to prepare, if we choose to.

A warning that change is coming.

See the drastic changes coming to our world

“There are decades when weeks happen, and weeks when decades happen.”
— Fake but true quote attributed to Lenin.

Demographic change.

Western nations have opened their borders, allowing massive flows of people from radically different cultures. This is done with the insanely arrogant assumption that these people will abandon their values and adopt the West’s. The first generation does so in order to fit in. Subsequent generations recover their pride and reassert their values.  There are a host of other effects. Perhaps most important, the development of a frustrated underclass as the host country is unable to assimilate them or provide low-skilled jobs.

1. See the lies that keep the borders open.
2. Cutting thru the fog of lies about immigration
3. Choose: open borders or the welfare State?
4. Important: Diversity is a grand experiment. We’re the lab rats.
5. Prepare for mass migrants, the greatest challenge to America.
6. The Left goes full open borders, changing America forever.
7. Must our population grow to ensure prosperity? — Spoiler: no!

Also reshaping society is the collapse of fertility as a result of social change (e.g., women redefining themselves in terms of their careers and independence) – aided by contraceptive technology (a male “pill” will give this another push).

Technological change.

“{The arrival of sexbots} will blow up the world. It will make crack cocaine look like decaffeinated coffee.”
— Anonymous (source here).

A new industrial revolution has begun, with (as always) consequences we not only cannot see but cannot imagine. Ever-more capable machines (colloquially called robots and AI). New power sources (e.g., fusion). The Pandora’s Box of genetic engineering. Drugs and other tech making people stronger and (more importantly) smarter. Previous industrial revolutions reshaped nations in two generations. This one will do no less, and perhaps much more.

These will combine to produce things seen only in science fiction. Such as super-quality porn – and sexbots.

1. Tech creates a social revolution with unthinkable impacts that we prefer not to see.
2. Our scary future: sexbots are coming, powering the ‘sexodus’.
3. A look at sexbots, prototypes of a radically different future for society.
4. Technology will shape our society as porn and sexbots destroy 21st century marriage.
5. Experts look at the future of sexbots and society, but can’t see it.
6. Reluctant recognition that sexbots are coming.

Social change.

We have begun the adolescence of humanity. That is when a children realize that they can walk a different path than their parents laid out for them, and anything seems possible. We spin the dials on the control panel with childish glees and confidence. Bet on “unexpected” as the result.

1. The coming crash of marriage: why, and what’s next.
2. Millennial girls had a golden age. Gen Z’s inherit wreckage.
3. Origin of the gender wars — Analysis by Allan Bloom.
4. Women unleash their rage! Beta males revolt!
5. America begins its post-marriage experiment.
6. Men are abandoning the rat race, & changing American society. — See the data.
7. Will young men break America’s family structure?
8. Part 1: Why men are avoiding work and marriage.
9. Part 2: Will today’s young men marry? America’s future depends on the answer.
10. Science tells us why the family is dying – And about the results.

Senescence of the American political regime.

“Every country has the government it deserves”
— Joseph-Marie, Comte de Maistre. From Lettres et Opuscules (1811).

Political structures grow old and feeble, just as individuals do. The American Republic has had 242 good years, and has outlived almost all those alive at its birth. But its time has come. Something new will arise from its ashes. Whether for better or worse is up to us.

1. Lilliput or America – who has a better way to choose its leaders?
2. The presidential debates are performance art. They’re Kabuki.
3. Can we love the Constitution without knowing what it says? – Spoiler: no.
4. Can Constitutional amendments save the Republic? – Spoiler: no.
5. Could a new Constitutional Convention help reform America? Is it worth the risk? – Spoiler: no.
6. Our institutions are hollow because we don’t love them.
7. After 230 years, the Constitution needs fixing.
8. America isn’t falling like the Roman Empire. It’s worse.

Accompanying this political incapacity is the broad collapse of our institutions. This has already begun.  For example, see this excerpt from Matt Taibbi’s new book, Hate Inc.: Why Today’s Media Makes Us Despise One Another, coming out soon. It is a blow-by-blow account of RussiaGate, showing the slow decay of several vital institutions. He states the bottom line for the news media…

“It’s official: Russiagate is this generation’s WMD. The Iraq war faceplant damaged the reputation of the press. Russiagate just destroyed it.”

These posts describe of few of the many other examples described here.

1. Kunstler describes the ugly fruits of America’s social decay.
2. James Kunstler: the coming collapse of universities.
3. About the corruption of climate science.
4. Essential reading: A new, dark picture of America’s future.

The coming shock, following generations of stasis.

“For the world is changing: I feel it in the water, I feel it in the earth, and I smell it in the air.”
— Treebeard in Tolkien’s The Return of the King, end of the The Lord of the Rings trilogy.

What change looks like: 1860 – 1947

The US government changed almost beyond recognition during these 87 years. But so did everything else. Look at Dodge City in 1877. Bat Masterson is sheriff, one of those maintaining some semblance of law in the Wild West. Life in Dodge is materially only slightly better than that in an English village of a century earlier. But social and technological evolution has accelerated to a dizzying pace, and Bat cannot imagine what lies ahead.

 

1. The transatlantic telegraph line and transcontinental railroad unite America, beginning the end of the regional identities had divided America.
2. The theory of evolution remains controversial, 17 years after the famous debate between Bishop Wilberforce and Thomas Huxley (“Is it on your grandfather’s or your grandmother’s side that you claim descent from a monkey, Mr. Huxley?”).
3. Medicine and public health remain primitive. A bedside manner and diagnostic skill are doctors’ most reliable tools. In 3 years Pasteur will discover the first artificially generated vaccine (for chicken cholera).
4. One year ago Alexander Graham Bell had patented the telephone (1866)
5. Next year Paul Haenlein will fly the first aircraft powered by an internal combustion engine.
6. In two years (1879) Karl Benz will patent the first practical automobile engine, Edison will design the first practical electric light, and David Edward Hughes sent a wireless signal across London.
7. We are two-thirds through the Long Peace between the Napoleonic Wars and WWI.
8. The deterministic certainties of Newton still rule in science, but the era of great discoveries bad begun with advances in thermodynamics and electromagnetism leading to new sciences – and new technologies.

Bat Masterson was born on a primitive farm in 1853. He died in 1921 while working as a sportswriter for the Morning Telegraph — living in a New York City with telephones, automobiles, and electric power. Rapid change continued for another generation. One small drama in this was the horse apocalypse. In 1925, there were 22 million horses in the US. There were 11 million in 1945 (there were 3 million in 1960).

Rapid change continued. By 1947 the world had assumed roughly the shape we see today.

The stasis: 1947 to now.

Then the progress of science slowed, so that June Cleaver could step from her 1957 home (in the first episode of “Leave it to Beaver”) into her 2017 equivalent and easily adapt. Her only surprise at the technology would be the lack of progress over the past 60 years (much slower than during the previous 60 years, 1897 to 1957).

1. The medical industry in 1957 looked much as it does today. Doctors can both prevent and treat most illnesses, but viral and degenerative diseases remain beyond their reach.
2. After WWII Mao brought the theory and practice of 4GW to maturity. Since then no foreign occupier has been able to defeat a local insurgency (except by supporting the local military, or promising it independence).
3. Rockets, nukes, computers, cellular telephones, and basic electronic devices had all been invented. We have seen just incremental progress since then.
4. The government was larger, but in roughly the same form. The same two parties ruled.

Now a new cycle of change has begun.

Stop – Go – Stop.

This has been the pattern in the West for four centuries. Each cycle surprises us because we come to accept the current order as the nature one. Stephen Jay Gould, speaking of biological evolution, called it “punctuated evolution.” Long periods of stability with brief periods of drastic change.

Geologists see the world in much the same way. It changes slowly (gradualism), then cataclysmic change drastically reshapes it.

But this time we can see the coming wave of change. The great task of our time is to analyze and prepare. Most people will stick their heads in the ground and watch TV. The others can help this transition, to whatever extent we can.

1. Some places to look for energy: We need better heroes. They are there, in stories from our past.
2. Inspiration. The missing element that can reform America.
3. Where we can find the inspiration to fix America?

Make a better future. Pick up the War Arrow.

For More Information

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Change: it’s not always good.

This is absurdly false. Change often happens, wanted or not.

Change can bring exciting opportunities. Or it can destroy all you hold dear.