Roger Pielke Jr.: the politics of unlikely climate scenarios

"Fight the future" by Ramaelk at DeviantArt

Summary: The public policy choices we make about climate policy depend on the future that we expect. Here Roger Pielke Jr. describes an example of how climate scenarios too often misrepresent what we know about our world and lits likely futures.   "Pielke on Climate" - part 3 of 3. The Politics of Inconceivable Scenarios. By … Continue reading Roger Pielke Jr.: the politics of unlikely climate scenarios

Roger Pielke Jr. describes the distorting of climate science

No exaggeration here! From Scientific America. AZRainman/Flickr

Summary: Scientists and journalists play a vital role in the public policy debate about climate change, explaining the reports of the major climate agencies. Here Roger Pielke Jr. describes an example of how they too often misrepresent those findings, distorting the debate and feeding the public's loss of confidence in science as an institution. About those … Continue reading Roger Pielke Jr. describes the distorting of climate science

Roger Pielke Jr. describes the decay of climate science

Climate War

Summary: Science and public policy collide in climate science as they have in few fields. Here Roger Pielke Jr., describes an example of how the resulting stress has begun to corrupt the field. "Pielke on Climate" - Part 1 of 3. Institutional decay in climate science. By Roger Pielke Jr. at The Climate Fix. Posted … Continue reading Roger Pielke Jr. describes the decay of climate science

WWI warns us about markets’ ability to see the future

Forecasting with models

Summary: Confidence rules America, with US markets at or near record high valuations and Team Trump expanding our wars. Time for a reminder that our ability to predict events is small, which means these moments of great confidence are periods of high risk. This is a revised post from 2014. “We seem to be living … Continue reading WWI warns us about markets’ ability to see the future

Jessica Mathews: why scuttling the Iran deal is MAD

ranian poster of the Great Satan and the Ayatollah

Summary: Trump apparently intends to scuttle the nuclear arms control deal with Iran. Here an expert explains that the reasons he gives are wrong and that the consequences will be ugly for both us and for them. For more information see the previous posts in this series, listed at the end. Iranian students with pictures … Continue reading Jessica Mathews: why scuttling the Iran deal is MAD