Trump’s Tax Cuts Won’t Offset the Impending Slowdown

Forecasting

Summary: American elections often turn on recent economic growth. So Trump's future, the GOP's future, and perhaps the course of US politics might depend on the what the economy does during the next three years. Here one of the world's top forecasting firms looks at our future. They see slowing growth, which Trump's fiscal stimulus … Continue reading Trump’s Tax Cuts Won’t Offset the Impending Slowdown

Polls about climate change point to a dark truth

30th anniversary

Summary: As we approach the 30th anniversary of the climate change campaign in America, let's examine the results -- and see why so much money and effort has been expended for so little result. Let's learn to do better. The 30th anniversary of the climate change campaign On 23 June 1988 Dr. James Hansen of … Continue reading Polls about climate change point to a dark truth

One of humanity’s greatest minds shows us the 21st century

Seeing the future

Summary: New Years begin with a flood of predictions. Here is one from the past by one of the greatest minds of the 20th century. It helps us understand how we got here and where we are going. "The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams." --- From It Seems … Continue reading One of humanity’s greatest minds shows us the 21st century

Arthur C. Clarke: use your imagination to see the future

Prophecy

Summary: Arthur C. Clarke warns about the "Hazards of Prophecy". In part 2 he warns about confident forecasts declaring an innovation to be impossible, and gives some stunning examples of scientists' failure to imagine the near future. It's an important lesson to remember as a new industrial revolution begins. "Hazards of Prophecy: The Failure of Imagination" … Continue reading Arthur C. Clarke: use your imagination to see the future

Arthur C. Clarke warns us about bold confident predictions

Sailing into the Future

Summary: Arthur C. Clarke warns about the "Hazards of Prophecy." Don't take those predictions about 2018 & beyond too seriously. Especially the gloomy ones about technological stagnation, with so many signs that a new industrial revolution has begun. We're sailing into an unknown future.   "Hazards of Prophecy: The Failure of Nerve" By Arthur C. … Continue reading Arthur C. Clarke warns us about bold confident predictions