How long can President Obama administration ignore its political base?
- Failure to reform health care, esp after first pandering to the drug and insurance companies.
- Expanding the war in Afghanistan.
- No investigations into torture during the Bush administration.
- Delay in closing Guantanamo.
- No efforts to extend gay rights.
- Foreign policy almost a clone of Bush’s policies.
- Bank bailouts and failure to regulate, a clone of Bush’s policy.
I suspect sometime soon Obama’s base will reject him. Since his centrist policy has been spun to the right-wing as that of a nihilist communist, this would leave him a political orphan — like Hoover in 1930-1932. Likely results:
- Serious damage to the Democratic Party’s results in the 2010 elections.
- Failure to achieve significant public policy changes.
- Reduced ability to respond to a domestic or international crisis during the next 3 years.
- Obama’s defeat in 2012.
Sad, but the almost inevitable result of his inexperience playing in the big leagues. A decade of campaigning does not prepare one to govern a superpower. Nice speeches can accomplish little without knowledge of political craftsmanship — the architectonic art.
For more information from the FM site
To read other articles about these things, see the following:
- About Obama, his administration and policies
- About America – how can we reform it?
- Good news about America, a collection of articles!
Reference pages about other topics appear on the right side menu bar, including About the FM website page.
A few of the posts looking at the Obama Administration:
- How long will all American Presidents be War Presidents?, 21 March 2008 — The 7th year since 9/11, with the only debate about the Long War being what nations America should fight. We see this even the speeches of the most “liberal” candidate, Senator Obama.
- These days all American Presidents are War Presidents (part 2), 13 September 2008
- America gets ready for new leadership (or is it back to the future?), 14 November 2008
- These days all US Presidents are War Presidents (part 3), 23 November 2008
- Stratfor looks at Obama’s foreign policy, sees Bush’s foreign policy, 30 August 2009
- Motto for the Obama administration: “The more things change, …”, 5 September 2009
- TomGram: “The Imperial Presidency 2.0″, 18 October 2009
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