Economics

Before Trump, top economist Joseph Stiglitz warned about globalization

Summary: Lost amidst his bombast and folly, Trump has challenged key bipartisan policies of US elites. That is why they hate and fear him. That’s why attacks on him seldom mention issues, focusing instead on his character and language. Better to spin fantasy (he’s a Hitler) then remind the public that Trump dislikes globalization and mass immigration — as so many of them do. Criticism of globalization is Trump’s most dangerous theme; here anthropologist Marximilian Forte reminds us that some top economists agree with him (see the links at the end for other examples).

World in the palm of my hand

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Globalization: Beyond Discontent

By Maximilian C. Forte.
From Zero Anthropology.
Reposted with his generous permission.

Review of Globalization and Its
Discontents
by Joseph E. Stiglitz (2003).

“Today, globalization is being challenged around the world….for millions of people globalization has not worked. Many have actually been made worse off, as they have seen their jobs destroyed and their lives become more insecure. They have felt increasingly powerless against forces beyond their control. They have seen their democracies undermined, their cultures eroded”. (Page 248.)

There are at least two main reasons that past reformist approaches to IMF-imposed austerity measures, market deregulation, trade liberalization, and privatization — some of the core tenets of neoliberal globalization — have largely fizzled out. One is that institutions such as the IMF are thoroughly undemocratic, unrepresentative and accountable, just as they are maniacally ideological, unresponsive and thus resistant to change.

Another is that some of the proposed reforms are almost worse than what is to be reformed — or they can seem that way with the passage of time. One example would be the proposition that if “free trade” has been unfair to the developing world (because it is not free when developed nations maintain subsidies, tariffs, and other domestic protections), then the best way to have fair trade is to make it free absolutely everywhere. What this now looks like is a generalization of misery — but it’s “fair” if it’s evenly spread. As massive job losses have swept the “developed world” in a rising tide of de-industrialization with the advent of a battery of free trade agreements, few remain who would call this a positive step forward.

Re-reading Joseph E. Stiglitz’s 2003 book Globalization and Its Discontents in the present context, might provoke the realization that whatever chance there was for reforming neoliberal globalization, that time has passed. What Stiglitz calls globalization (what others call neoliberalism) was something that he saw as worth salvaging, even if acknowledging how vastly unfair, unequal, and ideologically-driven it has been.

A world under controlWhen it comes to matters of trade, austerity, and privatization, Stiglitz is scathing in his criticisms of the IMF, World Bank, and WTO. Speaking as an insider — as someone who served on president Bill Clinton’s Council of Economic Advisers, and then chief economist and senior vice president of the World Bank — Stiglitz amassed considerable knowledge of the workings of such institutions, but nonetheless maintained a certain level of faith in the benefits of globalization and held out hope for reform. On either front, the cautious optimism was unwarranted.

Reasons for not holding out such hope appear in the final pages of the 2003 edition of Stiglitz’s book, and we should have learned something from that about the reformist approach. Here I want to quote at length from the book’s Afterword (pp. 257-258):

“Most disappointing but least surprising was the response from the IMF. I had not expected the officials there to like the book, but I thought it might provoke them into a debate on the many issues that I raised. After promising to engage in a discussion on the substantive issues at a launch of the book at the World Bank on June 28, 2002 — a discussion I had tried to generate, unsuccessfully, in my years working there — they decided to engage in an ad hominem attack, to the embarrassment not only of the economists at the World Bank who had come to see real engagement but also to IMF staffers who attended.

“The IMF attack gave those who were there a chance to see firsthand the IMF’s arrogance and disdain for people who disagree with its perspectives. The IMF’s unwillingness to engage in meaningful discussions is something many people in developing countries have seen. For those involved in making the arrangements for the forum — in which the Fund had repeatedly given assurances that it was to be a discussion of substance — it provided another instance of that institution’s duplicity.

“So did its approach to the press: after asking that the discussion be off the record (I believe that such meetings should be on the record, but in the hopes that it might facilitate greater openness I deferred to their conditions), the minute the session was over, the IMF faxed and e-mailed the remarks of their chief economist, Kenneth Rogoff, to the press. They chose to include neither my remarks, those of the World Bank’s chief economist, nor those of the commentators who followed. Rogoff’s remarks were described by the IMF as an ‘open letter,’ which was itself a sham: the letter was certainly never received by me and almost surely was never sent to me. What the IMF basically tried to do was shoot the messenger and then call a press conference to announce what they had done”.

“…It showed the general public what they [the IMF] are often like to deal with. Rather than engaging in an open discussion of the issues, they lied about their intentions and then tried to convert the discussion into a one-sided ad hominem attack mixing innuendo and mischaracterization. There could be no better illustration of the points I had made in the book about the Fund’s high-handedness.”

Kenneth Rogoff’s “Open Letter” is still available online from the IMF’s website. Stiglitz’s characterization of the “letter” is quite accurate. In that piece Rogoff, an economic counsellor and director of research at the IMF, addresses Stiglitz personally: “Your ideas are at best highly controversial, at worst, snake oil”. Rogoff accuses Stiglitz of being somehow arrogant: “Unlike you, I am humbled by the World Bank and IMF staff I meet each day”. He accuses Stiglitz of outright “slander”. Speaking for the IMF, Rogoff claims that Stiglitz’s lessons were “old hat” — which is only a testament to how long the IMF ignored criticisms. The rest of the piece is incessantly belittling, smug, and defamatory. And all of this was directed against a colleague, an insider — just imagine how little they think of the rest of the planet, virtually up in arms at decades of severe punishment doled out as “structural adjustment”.

No wonder then that these same established elites, these entrenched interests and encrusted aristocrats of the dollar, are in such a deep-fried panic over the swelling mass of increasingly more extreme political opposition movements sweeping Europe and now the US itself. The stifling ideological stasis that persists while the rhetoric of orthodoxy is ratcheted up, along with the redoubled efforts to impose more free trade agreements (as ever, negotiated in secret), if anything these serve to increase polarization. With each month that passes where the status quo is defended (more desperately now than ever), the more extreme political options become that much more attractive to greater numbers — whether in Greece, Germany, France, the UK, or the US.

Reasons for opposition to free trade

Free Trade Feud: Winners and Losers” by Angela Cullen at Bloomberg, 17 July 2015.

It’s true to say that neoliberalism is capitalism, and that ending neoliberalism does not end capitalism. Indeed, some of the most vocal opponents of neoliberalism today, are staunchly capitalist — but it’s capitalism with state regulation and social welfare, or state capitalism (that is sometimes confused with socialism). Even that would be an improvement over the current system — demonstrably so too, as unemployment increases, real incomes stagnate or decline, wealth inequalities have surpassed historic extremes, debt crises mount, and even life expectancy rates have begun to shrink in large demographic sectors.

As presented elsewhere, neoliberalism has been a spectacular failure in achieving even its own goals, on its own stated terms. For example, the graph below demonstrates that in the case of per capita GDP growth–the kind of measure so valued by neoliberal economists–there has been a steady drop from the period when worldwide import-substituting industrialization strategies were dominant, when national markets were protected and trade barriers were high, to the period when free trade agreements became dominant and pervasive. There is now a certain level of justifiable immediacy in wanting to see the quickest possible termination of at least neoliberalism.

Growth of world real GDP per capita

A Fair Globalization” by the International Labour Organization, February 2004 — page 36.

Otherwise, contradictions multiply as much as boundaries between positions become increasingly blurred: we thus have neoliberal critiques of some forms of imperialism as we have Leninist critiques of other forms of imperialism; we have right-wing anti-free traders as we have left-wing ones; we have populists and nationalists leading multi-class coalitions, whether in Venezuela or in the US, and so on. Certainly what is most at stake now is not the purity of one’s membership in this or that camp.

The second reason to be skeptical comes out of Stiglitz’s own endorsement of really free trade everywhere (pp. 244-245), when he has not made the case that it should be free anywhere, and his endorsement of continued globalization — as if it were inevitable, unchangeable, and somehow sacrosanct — is just as questionable. Stiglitz calls for more “gradual” processes of globalized change, allowing more time for “traditional institutions and norms” to “adapt and respond” to the “new challenges” (2003, p. 247). I’m sorry: who says we must be forced to confront these so-called “new challenges” and where do these “challenges” come from, who benefits from them, who imposes them? Why must  we always be placed in the subordinate and reactive position of merely adapting and responding to the dictates of others? Rather than make globalization more palatable, Stiglitz succeeds in making it more objectionable as a forced medicine.

What I appreciate, as an anthropologist, is Stiglitz’s admission of the adverse effects of globalization on cultural identity and cultural values (2003, p. 247). Also, his critique of globalization’s subversion of local democracy and self-determination are invaluable, and more relevant than ever, especially when he says that, “globalization…often seems to replace the old dictatorships of national elites with new dictatorships of international finance” (Stiglitz, 2003, p. 247). These points, added to his critiques of free market fundamentalism, make his book still relevant and useful. Another important lesson is that each nation will need to develop its own solutions to globalization, in its own terms and in its own time–I would not presume to offer a one-size-fits-all recipe, like the IMF. However, we do have an outline of the structure that is implied: sovereignty must be reasserted, self-determination is paramount, and more power must pass to local hands.

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Maximilian ForteAbout the author

Maximilian C. Forte is a Professor of Sociology and Anthropology at Concordia University in Montreal. He is the author of numerous books, most recently Slouching Towards Sirte: NATO’s War on Libya and Africa (2012) and Emergency as Security (New Imperialism) (2013). See his publications here; read his bio here.

He writes at the Zero Anthropology website (many of his articles are posted at the FM website. it is one of the of the few with an About page well worth reading — excerpt…

Anthropology after empire is one built in part by an anthropology that is against empire, and it need not continue, defensively, as a discipline laden with all of the orthodoxies from which it suffers today. Indeed, the position taken here is that there can be no real critical anthropology that is not simultaneously critical of (a) the institutionalization and professionalization of this field, and (b) imperialism itself.

Anthropology, as we approach it, is a non-disciplinary way of speaking about the human condition that looks critically at dominant discourses, with a keen emphasis on meanings and relationships, producing a non-state, non-market, non-archival knowledge.

For More Information

See more of Joseph Stiglitz’s work at his website.

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