Best predictions made on the FM website

Best predictions made on the FM website:

The articles in 2003 about the Iraq War, saying that the insurgents would prove to be determined and difficult foes.
The articles from 2007 – now predicting that neither the US nor Israel would attack Iran.
The Iraq insurgency has ended, which opens a path to peace, 13 March 2007
Beyond Insurgency: An End to Our War in Iraq, 27 September 2007
Geopolitical implications of the current economic downturn, 24 January 2008
The articles in 2008 saying that the food crisis was exagerated by the news media and activists
The articles from early 2008 – now warning that the slow unraveling of Mexico’s State would continue

Perhaps the most accurate forecast on this website, this written in October 2003 about the Iraq War:

Coalition forces appear to have lost the vital connection between strategy and tactics. Clear and feasible goals drive strategy, which drives tactics. Also, Coalition leaders lack clear and popular goals to maintain domestic support for the War. Feasible strategy and tactics maintain domestic confidence in Coalition leadership. With popular support success in long and painful conflicts becomes possible.What are the Coalition’s goals and strategy? If these are in fact uncertain, as they were in the Viet Nam war, development of successful tactics becomes difficult. Maintaining domestic support and confidence becomes problematic.

… The tentative evidence available suggests that Coalition forces have been pushed onto the defensive. Worse, our civilian administrators seem increasing isolated from the Iraq people, our military increasingly viewing the local people as potential assailants and/or targets.

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