Stratfor sees shifts to right in Austria and the Czech Republic

Before and after earthquake in Italy on 30 October 2016

Summary: Europe's turn to the right continues. Voters in Poland and Germany, now Austria and the Czech Republic, have broken the coalitions that have ruled for generations. Frustrations accumulated, then rising immigration sparked an electoral rebellion. See these Stratfor reports about this week's elections. They expect mostly business-as-usual results. I'll bet this is just the … Continue reading Stratfor sees shifts to right in Austria and the Czech Republic

Stratfor: Trump’s art of wrecking the nuclear deal with Iran

Summary: Obama's nuclear deal with Iran was one of his major accomplishments, a defeat of the multi-generational propaganda barrage by America's pro-war hawks. Now conservatives work to overturn it, as they have opposed all nuclear arms control treaties -- deals that have helped prevent atomic war. Stratfor gives a hopeful forecast for what follows Trump's … Continue reading Stratfor: Trump’s art of wrecking the nuclear deal with Iran

Stratfor explains how terrorists measure success

Summary: Stratfor describes something we must understand to win the War on Terror. How do they measure success? It is a key to understanding their plans and so anticipate their actions. “Wars are measured in body counts. The news carries a running tally. You change the world with rivers of blood.” — Terrorist leader Saleem … Continue reading Stratfor explains how terrorists measure success

Stratfor describes a paradise lost to China’s ambition

Taklamakan Desert in China's Xinjiang Uygur province

Summary: Stratfor describes the next phase of China's expansion and its likely consequences. China's political and environmental problems are typical of what global growth will create during the next several decades. We must learn to manage this process better as we go from today's 7 billion people to the almost inevitable 10 billion by 2050. … Continue reading Stratfor describes a paradise lost to China’s ambition

Stratfor pans Trump’s new Afghanistan War plan

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Summary: Stratfor reports on Trump's new strategy for the Afghanistan War, showing its low odds of success. It's a follow-up to my post Why Trump’s plan for Afghanistan will fail. How many US troops will die or be crippled trying to make this doomed plan work? "The United States Sets Its Sights Beyond Afghanistan" Stratfor, 22 August … Continue reading Stratfor pans Trump’s new Afghanistan War plan