The Plame Affair and the Decline of the State

Here are some speculative thoughts on the Plame Affair seen through the prism of two familiar DNI themes: the Decline of the State and 4GW.  We will start slowly, attempting to clear away details that obscure the important underlying meanings.What is the Plame affair not about? 1.  This is not a policy dispute, certainly not …

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Thoughts on FMFM 1-A, an important tool for survival in the 21st century

Contents Introduction How war is fought Who fights it? Why they fight (what they fight for) How I learned to stop worrying and love Fourth Generation War Beyond FMFM 1-A Conclusion Some Additional Thoughts about FMFM 1-A on the Fourth of July (1)  Introduction Lind and his co-authors are doing one of the most important …

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Scorecard #4: New developments in Iraq

The rate and intensity of insurgent operations continues at the highest rate since the invasion. Can they sustain this rate?  Perhaps more important is the Coalition’s response. First, application of heavy firepower in urban areas. Perhaps to instill shock and awe in the Iraq people, hoping for better cooperation with Coalition officials? Destroying empty buildings, …

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Scorecard #3: the Coalition’s Progress in Iraq

What progress has the Coalition made in Iraq? Great progress, in many important areas. With our western passion for numbers, we have measured many aspects of our construction programs. However the significance of these accomplishments seems more difficult to determine. Some things we can say with confidence, if not precision. See links at the bottom …

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Scorecard #2: How well are we doing in Iraq? Afghanistan?

Iraq Have the Iraq “insurgents” gained, for now at least, a superior position? Based on public sources, apparently the Coalition still does not know the nature of the opposition: leaders, goals, ideology, numbers, etc. Insurgent attacks demonstrate the operational resources to strike at will in central Iraq, and on occasion anywhere in Iraq. The increasing …

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