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Will food prices continue to rise, destabilizing the third world? A look at the ENSO.

By Larry Kummer, Editor / Leave a Comment / 31 January 2011 4 October 2016

Summary: Riots around the world in 2008 and this year show the effect of rising food prices. There are many drivers of prices — increasing consumption, under-investment, pests/disease, weather. And despite the propaganda, cool cycles usually cause more harm than warm cycles. In this series we examine two wild cards, potential causing years of cool weather. Today: decadal climate cycles. …

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More about rising food prices (perhaps one of the big trends of the next decade)

By Larry Kummer, Editor / Leave a Comment / 13 November 2010 4 October 2016

Summary: Readers of the FM website respond to its contents with a flood of comments (emailed or using the comment form). Mostly critical, appropriate to it content — speculation about the topics on the edge of the known. Some brilliant. Some illustrate why America might have a very difficult time in the coming years. Here we …

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About the coming large rise in food prices

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 1 Comment / 12 November 2010 4 October 2016

Summary: Rising food prices might be one of the most important geopolitical trends of the decade. This is another post in a series, describing the causes and effects; links to other chapters appear at the end. Also see part two in this series: More about rising food prices (perhaps one of the big trends of …

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Fertilizer overuse destroying Chinese soil

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 5 Comments / 18 February 2010 4 October 2016

As usual with cutting edge research, the timing and significance of this is impossible for a layman to accurately access. But this could be bad for China. Yields have already dropped 30-50% in some places. A summary of the research by Reuters More detailed summaries, in ScienceNow and Nature The research, in Science For more …

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Is global food production peaking?

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 13 Comments / 13 January 2010 4 October 2016

Summary: Peak food would be bad news, since the world’s population will increase for a few more generations, until falling fertility sends it crashing down. But there is little evidence of this, and much suggesting that food production can greatly increase. Notes: This is just a sketch, not an analysis. Please post in the comments any references to …

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