ar5 Archives - Fabius Maximus website

Manufacturing climate nightmares: misusing science to create horrific predictions

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 42 Comments / 5 November 2015 19 June 2019

Summary: Scientists and journalists bombard us with news about the coming climate catastrophe, described as certain unless we drastically change our economy. This has plunged many into despair. The hidden key to these forecasts is RCP8.5, the worst case scenario of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report — often erroneously described as the “business as usual” …

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What’s the consensus of climate scientists? Why do we care?

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 22 Comments / 9 September 2015 11 May 2019

Summary: Here’s a briefing about climate change, prepared for Politifact at their request. Unused, of course, since the reporter was just fishing for smears (here’s an analysis of what they published). However, it’s a useful introduction to this complex subject. What do we know about the consensus of climate scientists, and why does it matter? …

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The hidden but important IPCC foundation for Obama’s Clean Power Plan

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 39 Comments / 17 August 2015 2 April 2017

Summary: The internet overflows with commentary about climate change, much by scientists. Yet all this talk generates more heat than light. Here’s a small but telling example, about an IPCC finding that should be a standard note in articles about Obama’s Clean Power Plan — but is ignored by journalists and so little known. “Ignorance …

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The 97% consensus of climate scientists is only 47%

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 157 Comments / 29 July 2015 11 May 2019

Summary: In February 2014 I examined surveys of climate scientists and found (as had others) that they showed broad agreement with the IPCC’s headline statement about warming since 1950. However time brings new research, such as a major survey that digs deeper and finds that only a minority of climate scientists agree with the full …

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Is our certain fate a coal-burning climate apocalypse? No!

By Larry Kummer, Editor / 63 Comments / 13 July 2015 11 May 2019

The United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP21) in Paris climate was preceded by a surge of studies and articles warning of a dismal future if we do not take strong policy action. One scenario in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) provides the basis for these: RCP8.5. Even a casual examination of this shows it …

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