Summary: Forecasting the next stage in the decay of the Second Republic becomes more difficult as it accelerates. Last week we posted Putin’s ads today are those of America’s future, describing the likely evolution of campaigns into entertainment -- like Wimbledon, a fun stylish competitive event -- as the policy differences between the candidates diminishes. … Continue reading Last week’s dark prediction becomes this week’s news about the campaign
Summary: The presidential debates reveal little about the candidates, much about our political system, and everything about us as citizens. Part one of two. See part two: A reminder that debates are fun, not politics: Reagan had Alzheimer's in 1984 and we didn't notice. The Presidential debates display in pure form the nature of our … Continue reading The presidential debates are performance art. They’re Kabuki.
Summary: Small events act as valuable "tells", showing us how America has changed. They give us evidence, allowing us to benchmark ourselves vs. our forefathers. Today we look at Greenpeace's hoax about Shell, a demonstration of how skilled experts conduct politics in 21st America. Let's not waste time condemning Left and Right for using methods … Continue reading What does Greenpeace’s “Shell” hoax tell us about America?
Summary: Romney edges ahead of Obama in the latest poll, despite a horrific week in the news. Why will Romney win in November? First, the economy. Second, Americans pay little attention to the election. They vote first on their partisan leanings (quite strong for most people). Second, the decisive variable, the vote based on the … Continue reading Romney back on top. More evidence that the campaign news matters little. It’s the economy!
Summary: In July 2008 I forecast that McCain would win. Earlier, in February, I predicted that Obama would be a weak president. This election we'll double down: Romney will win, and prove an effective President -- implementing major reforms. Very effective for the 1% who purchased his election; less so for us. "You campaign in … Continue reading President Romney will prove an effective President, reshaping America for his key supporters