debkafile

Assassination of an important Saudi Prince! By Syria. Or Iran. Or both. Or it might be a fake story.

Summary:  This news story might be important. Or fake. Either way, it illustrates hidden dynamics in the Middle East and provides a useful lesson — how the Internet can help us sift through the morass of information to find the useful gems of information. “When I was sixteen, I went to work for a newspaper …

Assassination of an important Saudi Prince! By Syria. Or Iran. Or both. Or it might be a fake story. Read More »

Stop the presses: no naval armada has sailed to blockade Iran!

Summary:  For a week rumors about a US armada sailing to the Gulf circulated around the Internet and in Middle Eastern media, despite having almost no supporting evidence.  One of the two major sources for the “US fleet sailing to blockade Iran” story now has admitted his error.  No word yet from the other (and more high-profile) …

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Update on the rumored armada sailing to Iran

Summary:  The rumors about a US armada sailing to the Gulf continue to rattle around the Internet, despite having almost no supporting evidence.  Now Stratfor and Debkafile provide hard information on these rumors.  Specific but contradictory information.  For now I will stay with my original view:  these rumors are a tower of guesses built on a slight …

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“Attacking Iran, in order to stop its nuclear plans, will be unavoidable”

Summary:  this post examines yet another rumor of a strike at Iran by Israel.  A successful raid might be beyond Israel’s capabilities, the consequences devastating for Israel, and perhaps even unnecessary.  See links #6 and #17 at the end of this post.  For these reasons I doubt Israel will attack Iran.  But that is just a guess.  …

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