Events in Europe and the US play out as an almost mathematical proof of Martin van Creveld's forecast that the 21st century would see the decline of the nation-state. In Europe's it's plain to see, if invisible to its elites. Ditto in the US. Here's one example of the State's decline, an excerpt from “The … Continue reading The Decline of the State in Europe and the US, a big but invisible theme of current news
How will this economic downturn end? I have forecast its economic consequences here: This cycle will end with a re-balancing of the global economy — and a decline of the US dollar so that the US goods and services are again competitive. No more trade deficit, and we can pay our debts. What of its … Continue reading Does this economic crisis make the State stronger – or is it another step in the decline of the state?
This is a valuable and provocative article. The excerpt given here describes only one of the scenarios discussed in this paper. At the end are links to some of the many articles by DoD staff on this issue, very much worth reading by anyone interested in this subject. "Known Unknowns: Unconventional 'Strategic Shocks' in Defense … Continue reading US Army – the antidote to US civil disorder
These are both interesting if differing perspectives on the rioting in Greece. "Why Athens is burning", Stathis N. Kalyvas, International Herald Tribune, 11 December 2008 "What's Going On in Greece?", Anne Applebaum, Slate, 22 December 2008 -- "Do riots in Athens portend demonstrations in Paris and Cincinnati?" Even more interesting is that the journalist sees … Continue reading What’s Going On in Greece? What does it mean?
Summary: This essay sketches out what might be our most reliable defense against fourth generation warfare (4GW) -- a militia. Militia have deep roots in western history, and many of these advantages can work for America today. Militia also are problematic for several reasons. These issues must be considered when designing their recruitment, training, and organization. This … Continue reading Militia – the ultimate defense against 4GW