Summary: The course of US politics might depend on what happens to the US economy during the past three years. Predictions are difficult, but the trend is clear: the economy is slowing -- and has been since early 2015. Too bad journalists prefer to focus on the exciting noise, not the trend. By most metrics, … Continue reading See the trends of the US economy, looking towards 2020
Summary: American elections often turn on recent economic growth. So Trump's future, the GOP's future, and perhaps the course of US politics might depend on the what the economy does during the next three years. Here one of the world's top forecasting firms looks at our future. They see slowing growth, which Trump's fiscal stimulus … Continue reading Trump’s Tax Cuts Won’t Offset the Impending Slowdown
Summary: Japan continues to prosper, defying the doomsters' forecasts. Is this a delay of their end times, or the taxing down the runway before lift-off? Japan is in some ways further into the future than the rest of the world. We should watch and learn from them. Since Japan's long crash began in 1989, … Continue reading Japan refuses to die, soon to become a 21st century star
Summary: While the Democrats party over their victories on Tuesday, let's examine one of the great forces deciding elections. What is the trend of the US economy, and how might it influence the major elections in 2018? The Republican's incompetence gave the Democrat's some rare victories on Tuesday. Today Democrats rejoice, relieved that they need … Continue reading Watch the economy, the decisive factor in the 2018 election
Summary: A new industrial revolution has begun. Here are two small examples to illustrate what it will be like. Extrapolate these a thousand fold. Then do so again. That's what will happen in the next 70 years. Let's start to prepare now. "One conversation centered on the ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in … Continue reading The fast rise and fall of two industries show the coming singularity. Let’s prepare now.