el nino

Update on El Niño: will Gaia disappoint the climate activists?

Summary: Climate alarmists have run wild with predictions about the “monster” “Godzilla” El Niño, their last throw of the dice before the COP-21 climate conference in Paris. Here is an example by Brad Plummer, with some debunking. The latest forecasts of the major climate models suggest that it will disappoint activists (but match NOAA’s more …

Update on El Niño: will Gaia disappoint the climate activists? Read More »

El Niño, The Media Star: Separating Hype from Probability

Summary: Unscrupulous activists and publishers desperate for clicks prey our fearfulness, giving America hysteria about the normal events of life. Last year was Ebola and the “super monster” El Nino (both duds). This year we have the “Godzilla El Nino” (unprecedented since 1950, excerpt for 1982-83 and 1978-79). There are sources of reliable information. Previous …

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What if the “Godzilla” El Niño is a dud?

Summary:  After months of hype about this “Godzilla” El Niño, the peak approaches. The major climate models warn that it might be just another strong cycle (like 1997-98), as NOAA & the WMO have predicted — not the precedent-breaking monstrous event predicted in the news headlines. As a thought experiment, consider how might this — …

What if the “Godzilla” El Niño is a dud? Read More »

A report about America’s extreme weather. Just the facts, no hype.

Summary: Discovery that weather is the mother lode of clickbait made climate change activism appealing to publishers. As antidote to the weather porn now flooding the internet, here’s a real analysis of recent weather — more understandable than NOAA’s reports, more accurate than the everything is climate change schtick.  {1st of 2 posts today.} When …

A report about America’s extreme weather. Just the facts, no hype. Read More »

Prepare for a clickbait avalanche about the super El Niño!

Summary:  The current bout of hysteria about the El Niño demonstrates an under-reported but serious problem. As the world grows more complex and evolves faster we have little interest in reliable sources to help us understand and manage events ( like the NOAA advice shown below). Clickbait by a desperate news media (struggling with overcapacity) …

Prepare for a clickbait avalanche about the super El Niño! Read More »

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