election

Stratfor: The Refugee Crisis Redefines German Politics. It could get ugly.

By / Leave a Comment / 12 November 2017

Summary: Stratfor looks at this week’s regional elections in Germany. Much of the value of Stratfor’s analysis is their top-down analysis provides a window into the thinking of the West’s ruling elites (essentially their clients). Stratfor’s analysis suggests that German’s leaders remain delusionally complacent about the rising anger at their open borders policy and its …

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Stratfor: Iran’s Hard-Liners lose the election. Big changes ahead.

By / 1 Comment / 6 March 2016

Summary: We tend to see the complex politics of America but assume Iran’s mullahs rule a tyranny. Last week’s elections prove otherwise. Here Stratfor describes Iran’s politics and the election’s results. The new leadership team will have to sail through these troubled waters. Iran’s fragile economy is under incredible pressure from the collapse of oil …

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Populism carries Trump to the nomination. He’s completed 1 of 4 steps to victory.

By / 4 Comments / 8 March 2016

Summary: With Trump leading in polls for most of the coming primaries, let’s review his success in the four keys to winning in November. Equally important is the reaction of Democrats to his success, and what it tells us about the potential for a new broad coalition (like the New Deal) that can defeat the …

Populism carries Trump to the nomination. He’s completed 1 of 4 steps to victory. Read More »

Why the Left is missing the rising populist movement

By / 4 Comments / 17 August 2016

Summary: While journalists mindlessly cover Campaign 2016 (playing Trivia Pursuit, Gotcha, and “who’s on first”), the structure of American politics might be shifting. This series explores how and why. This post looks at the Left, so far the big loser in this transition, and what this means for the shape of the rising populist movement.  …

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It doesn’t matter if Trump wins. 2016 is already a revolutionary election

By / 7 Comments / 19 August 2017

Summary: The public, and so journalists, focus on the presidential elections as races, reasonable since the political consequences of each party’s victory are large but predictable. The 2016 election is different. Focusing on Trump’s latest outrageous sound-bite conceals the massive change made by his success to date. What if the parties’ control of political money …

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