Stratfor sees shifts to right in Austria and the Czech Republic

Before and after earthquake in Italy on 30 October 2016

Summary: Europe's turn to the right continues. Voters in Poland and Germany, now Austria and the Czech Republic, have broken the coalitions that have ruled for generations. Frustrations accumulated, then rising immigration sparked an electoral rebellion. See these Stratfor reports about this week's elections. They expect mostly business-as-usual results. I'll bet this is just the … Continue reading Stratfor sees shifts to right in Austria and the Czech Republic

Stratfor: can Europe’s banks break free from their doom loop?

Summary: Banks are the financial heart of modern nations, and Europe's are in trouble. One of its greatest, Deutsche Bank, has severe problems. Here Stratfor looks at the perilous state of Europe's banks, looked in a doom loop by their holdings of government bonds. Can the Eurozone Break Its 'Doom Loop'? Stratfor, 16 February 2017. … Continue reading Stratfor: can Europe’s banks break free from their doom loop?

Stratfor: Italy After the Referendum. What comes next?

Summary:  Brexit and Trump's election were followed by hysterical predictions of doom by experts, helping journalists manufacture exciting news for their apathetic audiences. Italy's citizens defied their centrist technocratic leaders, producing yet another round of ominous forecasts. For those who like their news straight and sober, here is an analysis of Italy's situation by Stratfor. … Continue reading Stratfor: Italy After the Referendum. What comes next?

Stratfor: the EU faces painful budget battles after Brexit

Summary: Europe's elites warned that Britain would suffer for daring to leave the EU. Suffer severely and soon. Four months have passed since the June 23 vote and Britain has felt no ill effects. Britain might have the last laugh, since the EU has to redo its budget following the loss of its second largest … Continue reading Stratfor: the EU faces painful budget battles after Brexit

Stratfor: European unification – they’ll live unhappily ever after

Summary: Here's an essay about the European Union from one of Stratfor's more perceptive analysts. It provides a unusual and insightful perspective on Europe's long quest for unification, and the bumps along the way. Europe, Unhappily Ever After By Reva Goujon. Stratfor, 20 September 2016. The scene at Bratislava Castle last week was a familiar … Continue reading Stratfor: European unification – they’ll live unhappily ever after