Look at the trends in extreme weather & see the state of the world

Climate Change Drama

Summary: Climate activists make bold claims about extreme weather caused by our CO2 emissions, attributing most big weather events to CO2's influence. Let's look at the numbers. Have extreme weather events become more common? The answers are easily available. "Some day — not tomorrow, not next year, but probably sometime before runaway climate change forces … Continue reading Look at the trends in extreme weather & see the state of the world

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California’s past megafloods – and the coming ARkStorm

Summary: To boost our fear, activists and journalists report the weather with amnesia about the past. Ten year records become astonishing events; weather catastrophes of 50 or 100 years ago are forgotten. It makes for good clickbait but cripples our ability to prepare for the inevitable. California's history of floods and droughts gives a fine … Continue reading California’s past megafloods – and the coming ARkStorm

What happens to the losers of the public debate about climate change?

Summary: Liberals believed that 2017 would mark a new start for US public policy to manage climate change. Now Conservatives agree, in a different sense. Both are wrong. The weather will determine who will win. The stakes for both sides are large (as are the possible effects on the world). The consequences for the losers … Continue reading What happens to the losers of the public debate about climate change?

A leaked memo about climate change explains why we’re unprepared

Summary: A leaked memo from the highest levels of the Democratic Party leadership discuss how to build public support for large-scale climate policy initiatives. It shows why their efforts failed, and raises questions about the coming Hillary Clinton administration. “We don’t even plan for the past.” — Steven Mosher (member of Berkeley Earth; bio here), … Continue reading A leaked memo about climate change explains why we’re unprepared

An eminent climate scientist explains what caused the record rains in Texas

Summary:  The heavy rains hitting Texas last May were record-breaking extreme weather evens. But were they natural (records routinely break as time passes) or the result -- partially or mostly -- the result of anthropogenic effects? Here an eminent climatologist gives a preliminary answer, based on solid evidence (not modeling). There is no visible trend … Continue reading An eminent climate scientist explains what caused the record rains in Texas

This El Niño is not Godzilla. What can we learn from the 2 years of hype?

Summary: After two years of hype (often hysterical), this El Niño might peak in December and then rapidly decline. No "super monster" or "Godzilla" El Niño; just severe weather (we won't know how severe until it ends). With the UN Conference of Parties in Paris (COP21) still running in Paris, it's time to start thinking about … Continue reading This El Niño is not Godzilla. What can we learn from the 2 years of hype?

Update on El Niño: will Gaia disappoint the climate activists?

Summary: Climate alarmists have run wild with predictions about the "monster" "Godzilla" El Niño, their last throw of the dice before the COP-21 climate conference in Paris. Here is an example by Brad Plummer, with some debunking. The latest forecasts of the major climate models suggest that it will disappoint activists (but match NOAA's more … Continue reading Update on El Niño: will Gaia disappoint the climate activists?