heinrich heine

For America to prosper it must first burn

Summary:   This is post #1701 on the FM website.  It’s a summary, guessing about the future of America based on the evidence and theories presented here (and at DNI) during the past 7 years.  The title describes the theme; at the end are links to more information. Most modern systems are robust, so that great disasters usually require a …

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The Fate of Israel

Summary:  This is chapter two in a series of articles about grand strategy in our era, when 4GW has become the dominate form of war. This post shows the difficulty of distinguishing strong from weak in 4GW, and that choosing a wrong grand strategy can be terminal for a state.  It could easily prove fatal for …

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