Summary: Usually we can only guess at the motives of our senior officials. But on rare occasions they give us clues to their real priorities and objectives. The Fed is especially opaque, so we speculate about their odd rate increases during a slow and slowing economy. Yesterday Janet Yellen explained why. The answer is shocking … Continue reading Surprising revelation: Janet Yellen reveals why the Fed is raising rates!
Summary: Trump's unexpected election forced changes in the forecasts and plans of the Fed's leaders. Today's decision to raise rates is their first result. Janet Yellen was quite candid about this. The implications of the rate rise are complex. The effects might prove calamitous. Janet Yellen's remarks at the press conference She clearly pointed to Trump's … Continue reading Trump forced the Fed to raise rates. The results could be ugly.
Summary: Here's another in my series of economic myth-busting articles, explaining that the Fed is not suppressing rates. It is a follow-up to Ignore The Bond Bears, The Fed Will Not Raise Rates. Part of the magical, even divine, powers attributed to the Federal Reserve is their ability to set interest rates -- both short- … Continue reading Today’s mythbusting: the Fed is not suppressing interest rates
Summary: On Thursday I posted "Ignore The Bond Bears, The Fed Will Not Raise Rates". Many on Wall Street disagree -- most of whom since 2012 have expected a cycle of rising rates to begin really soon. Such as J. P. Morgan's prediction of a rate increase in December. Friday's data confirms my forecast in … Continue reading Move evidence the Fed will not raise rates on our slow-mo economy
Summary: Since 2010 I have said that the economy is locked in slow-mo and the Fed will not start a new rate cycle. It's even more true today than in 2010. Many investors and economists are convinced that the Fed will soon end its near-zero interest rate policy and begin raising rates - "normalizing them". … Continue reading The Fed Will Not Raise Rates In The Foreseeable Future