Summary: Eminent climate scientist Judith Curry gives a brief assessment of the threat of climate change, starting from first principles -- such as the definition of "risk". It is a timely reminder, as the debate about the public policy response to climate change moves into hysteria. "US politics could be focused on preventing climate change … Continue reading A climate scientist assesses the threat of climate change
Summary: To share the excitement of the UN Conference of Parties in Paris (COP21) let's imagine how the people of 2100 AD will see the world, an exercise giving us a better perspective on the choices facing us. This post describes a "business as usual" scenario, an antidote to the prophecies of doom flooding the … Continue reading The climate change crisis as seen from 2100 AD (a business as usual scenario)
Summary: Scientists and journalists bombard us with news about the coming climate catastrophe, described as certain unless we drastically change our economy. This has plunged many into despair. The hidden key to these forecasts is RCP8.5, the worst case scenario of the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report -- often erroneously described as the "business as usual" … Continue reading Manufacturing climate nightmares: misusing science to create horrific predictions
Summary: Here's a briefing about climate change, prepared for Politifact at their request. Unused, of course, since the reporter was just fishing for smears (here's an analysis of what they published). However, it's a useful introduction to this complex subject. What do we know about the consensus of climate scientists, and why does it matter? … Continue reading What’s the consensus of climate scientists? Why do we care?
Summary: The looming disaster from the powerful greenhouse gas methane has become a standard part of alarmists' shtick. It shows how they've abandoned the IPCC -- the "gold standard" of climate science -- and why we need the IPCC to help defend us against manipulation by the Left and Right. The consensus of scientists is … Continue reading The easy solution to the looming monster methane apocalypse