Stratfor remembers Ireland’s Easter Rebellion, 100 year ago

Summary:  A century ago the Irish Rising shook the British Empire, already weakened in the midst of WWI. Here Stratfor looks at this pivotal event, with echoes still heard today.  (2nd of 2 posts today.) Remembering the Irish Easter Rising a Century On Stratfor, 24 April 2016 A century ago in Dublin, the spark of … Continue reading Stratfor remembers Ireland’s Easter Rebellion, 100 year ago

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On Counterinsurgency: On Power and Compromises, the difference between victory & defeat

Summary:  In this third chapter of "On Counterinsurgency" Martin van Creveld describes the operational differences between winning and losing methods of counterinsurgency.  Victory comes to those who take difficult paths. Most nations take the easier path, and lose. As the first phase (Iraq, Af-Pak) of our mad foreign wars winds down -- and the second … Continue reading On Counterinsurgency: On Power and Compromises, the difference between victory & defeat

On Counterinsurgency: The Two Methods that Win

Summary:  In this second chapter of "On Counterinsurgency" Martin van Creveld describes the two methods of crushing insurgencies.  We have tried neither; we might lack the capacity to use either method.  Note that both successes were, like almost all defeats of insurgencies, done by governments fighting domestic insurgencies. As the first phase (Iraq, Af-Pak) of … Continue reading On Counterinsurgency: The Two Methods that Win

The periphery of Europe – a flashpoint to the global economy

Introduction:  This is the fourth in a series of dashed off speculative opinions.  Normal procedure on the FM website for these topics would be 3 thousand word posts, supported by dozens of links.  I dont’ have the time to finish them, and too many of these outlines have accumulated in my drafts file.  Perhaps these will spark useful debate … Continue reading The periphery of Europe – a flashpoint to the global economy