Doomsters warned of End Times from overpopulation. Now *fewer* people are disasterous.

Summary: Population change remains a favorite topic for doomsters, providing clicks for the news media and thrills for news consumers. For 5 decades we have heard about the standing room only days coming soon for Earth. That's become a tired story, so they've devised a new one…   The rapid rise in population has not … Continue reading Doomsters warned of End Times from overpopulation. Now *fewer* people are disasterous.

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ECRI looks at our Great Monetary Experiment: It’s Too Big to Fail

Summary: The Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), who correctly predicted the slow recovery, explains the slow growth in which the US and Japanese economies are mired, and the fantastic monetary experiment waged by central banks to prevent them slumping into recessions. Appreciate the wonders of our time. The recovery since 2008 has been difficult for … Continue reading ECRI looks at our Great Monetary Experiment: It’s Too Big to Fail

Stratfor: Japan’s leaders are paralyzed as their economy fades

Summary: Japan was the first nation to enter a period of secular stagnation, deflationary tendencies, and fertility collapse. Now Europe and America are following (in our own ways). Decades of extreme monetary and fiscal stimulus have stabilized the economy, but at the cost of falling incomes for many of its people. Since we are on … Continue reading Stratfor: Japan’s leaders are paralyzed as their economy fades

Stratfor: it’s the breakout year for cybercrime! How do we fight it?

Summary: 2016 is the breakout year for cybercrime. Ransomware went global, the third major theft using the global banking SWIFT system, and a multi-million attack on Japan's ATM's network. Here Stratfor looks at the mechanics of crime-fighting against cyberthevies. To Catch a Cyber Thief Stratfor, 3 June 2016 Forecast South Africa's Standard Bank, so far … Continue reading Stratfor: it’s the breakout year for cybercrime! How do we fight it?

What Will the US Do in a Recession? Look to Japan for Answers…

Summary: In a previous article I listed the powerful tools the US government would deploy during the next recession. Today we discuss something more important: will they work? We can look to Japan for an answer. Their great stagnation began with the 1989 crash, 11 years before the tech bubble burst and began America's new … Continue reading What Will the US Do in a Recession? Look to Japan for Answers…

Why Japan can become an economic star of the 21st century

Summary:  Today we look at the future of Japan, and speculate at how well it will cope with the new industrial revolution. Their unique strengths (sometimes wrongly considered weaknesses) suggest that the 21st century might see the sun again rising over Japan. America too will face this challenge; we should watch and learn from Japan. … Continue reading Why Japan can become an economic star of the 21st century

Updating the recession watch; & what might the government do to fight a slowdown?

Summary: The economic data continues to darken. Let's review the situation -- updating the recession watch -- and guessing what might be the government's response to a recession. It's an era of new normals, so we should expect steps that would have been considered incredible or even mad a decade or two ago.  {1st of … Continue reading Updating the recession watch; & what might the government do to fight a slowdown?