Paul Krugman -- Nobel Laureate economist, #5 on Prospect magazine’s 2015 list of the world’s top “thinkers” -- gives us powerful advice about the climate policy debate in his August 12 NYT op-ed (similar to this from a February column). Here’s how I would approach the issue: by asking how we know that a modeling … Continue reading Paul Krugman explains how to break the climate policy deadlock
Summary: Many factors have frozen the public policy debate, but none more important than the disinterest of both sides in tests that might provide better evidence -- and perhaps restart the discussion. Even worse, too little thought has been given to the criteria for validating climate science theories (aka their paradigm) and the models build … Continue reading Karl Popper explains how to open the deadlocked climate policy debate
Summary: Computer models have opened a new era across the many fields of science. Our confidence in their forecasts has opened a new era in scientists' ability to influence public policy. Now come the questions. How can we determine the accuracy and reliability of these models, knowing when their forecasts deserve our confidence? What can … Continue reading We must rely on forecasts by computer models. Are they reliable?
The pro-anthropgenic global warming comments on the FM site (and emails to me) are so similar that a generic reply will save everybody time and effort. This post examines 7 8 common elements. These are general statements. They do not apply to every individual comment on the FM site or to material elsewhere (in any medium). Pro-AGW comments often display … Continue reading A reply to comments on FM site about Global Warming