la nina

The coming weather shock to the global economy

Summary:  With all the power our mastery of the physical sciences has given us, we often forget that we remain subject to the whims of nature.  Earthquakes, volcanoes, asteroids — and weather.  Our recent obsession with climate change has blinded us to the ferocious impact of rare but normal weather patterns.  Such as the second year …

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Update about the potential for another year of bad harvests

Summary:  We have a fevered desire to know the future, especially about the dynamics that shape our lives.  Giving us confident answers pays well, tempting even the best of professionals.  Here we examine a case study:  the La Nina related weather and bad harvests.  Another in a series about food, one of the underappreciated drivers of geopolitical …

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Will food prices continue to rise, destabilizing the third world? A look at the ENSO.

Summary:   Riots around the world in 2008 and this year show the effect of rising food prices.  There are many drivers of prices — increasing consumption, under-investment, pests/disease, weather.  And despite the propaganda, cool cycles usually cause more harm than warm cycles.  In this series  we examine two wild cards, potential causing years of cool weather.  Today: decadal climate cycles.  …

Will food prices continue to rise, destabilizing the third world? A look at the ENSO. Read More »

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