Summary:Â We see our broken OODA loop at work in the daily newspapers, but never so clearly as in the prominent role of people with a track record of consistently wrong analysis and advice. Screw-up and move up during the Vietnam War. The analytical failure of the “team B” analysis during the cold war, which …
More bad advice about Afghanistan. Why do we continue to listen? Read More »
 Each President for several generations whittles away our freedoms. Each party has their preferences in freedoms to erode; neither displays much interest in expanding our political and economic interests — although all display generosity in trivial matters, and make token efforts on some important matters. Now Obama takes the knife. Media manipulation has been a primary …
Foolish but dangerous attempts to manage the media by Team Obama Read More »
This is a follow-up to Will China collapse? (5 August 2008). Recent analysis: “Get ready for lower Chinese growth“, Michael Pettis, op-ed in the Financial Times, 29 July 2009  “The spend is nigh“, Economist, 30 July 2009 — “The second article in our series on global rebalancing asks whether China can reduce its trade surplus by consuming …
A revolution is not a dinner party. Thoughts about the future of China Read More »
Many versions of this are circulating around the Internet, describing how we can learn much from China’s evolution since WWII from rural backwater to major power. Mao Tse-tung, On the Correct Handling of Contradictions Among the People, 27 February 1957: When the rule of imperialism, feudalism and bureaucrat-capitalism was overthrown by the people, many were not …
The eternal truths of history can guide us through this crisis Read More »
4GW is simple, despite efforts by practioneers and theoraticians to make it seem complex. The War Nerd’s columns illustrate the simplicity of its use and its remoreseless  efficiency. Like this one, demonstrating how the moral high ground is usually a key to victory in 4GW. “Rules in the Era of Squeamishness“, Gary Brecher (“The War Nerd”), The …
The War Nerd shows how simple 4GW theory can be Read More »
