martin libicki

A look at the history of victories over insurgents. How often do foreign armies win?

Summary:   A RAND study examines the victories of foreign armies over insurgents.  It holds powerful lessons for us, and deserves more attention.   This is the third of series about the history of counterinsurgency.  Other chapters: Max Boot: history suggests we will win in Afghanistan, with better than 50-50 odds. Here’s the real story., which discussed 7 …

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RAND explains How Terrorist Groups End, and gives Lessons for Countering al Qa’ida

This study was, of course, ignored.  As a general rule, the US government’s interest in advice is inversely proportional to the relevant expertise and knowledge of the source.  Best of all is to know little about the subject, but have an active imagination and firm grasp of what the answers should be.  “How Terrorist Groups End …

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