mau mau

COINistas point to Kenya as a COIN success. In fact it was an expensive bloody failure.

Summary:  The British empire, in the words of historian John Seeley, “was acquired in a fit of absence of mind”. Unlike the lucrative British version, our mad unprofitable empire was acquired though years of careful work by like-minded people (as John Robb has said, open-source movements dominate our world), preparing the way with intensive bombardment …

COINistas point to Kenya as a COIN success. In fact it was an expensive bloody failure. Read More »

Max Boot: history suggests we will win in Afghanistan, with better than 50-50 odds. Here’s the real story.

Summary:  Advocates for the Af-Pak war often make dubious statements about the past, attempting to rekindle America’s enthusiasm for a war in which we have no meaningful stake.  Today Max Boot provides another example. This is the first of series about the history of counterinsurgency.  The other chapters: (2)  A major discovery! It could change the …

Max Boot: history suggests we will win in Afghanistan, with better than 50-50 odds. Here’s the real story. Read More »

About our intel agencies’ struggle to find accurate & institutionally useful narratives

Today’s reading is an excerpt from one of the best articles I’ve ever read on this subject:  “The Buddha as an Intelligence Analyst”, David Chuter (Senior Research Associate, Center for Defense Studies, London), presented at the conference on New Frontiers of Intelligence Analysis: Shared Threats, Diverse Perspectives, New Communities” in Rome, 31 March – 2 April …

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