Stratfor: Germany and ECB Face Off. Better than any WWF fight.

Summary: The monetary experiments central banks are running in Japan, Europe, and America will shape the global economy of the 21st century -- no matter what the result. Here Stratfor looks at the growing tensions between the ECB and Germany. It's a sound analysis. But note Stratfor's top-down perspective. By "Germany" they refer not to … Continue reading Stratfor: Germany and ECB Face Off. Better than any WWF fight.

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The Government Has A Clip Full Of Ammo To Fight The Next Recession

Summary: It's time to prepare for a possible recession in 2016. The manufacturing slump continues to deepen. A toxic combo: high inventories in November and weak retail sales in December. In February this expansion will tie for the 3rd longest expansion. {2nd of 2 posts today.} The Atlanta Fed's GDPnow model just lowered its est … Continue reading The Government Has A Clip Full Of Ammo To Fight The Next Recession

Why did the Fed raise rates? For the opposite of the reason they gave…

Summary: The Fed Governors told us they planned to raise rates, and months ago told us when they would do so. But their explanation of why they raised rates makes little sense. We can see their thinking by looking at the economic projections released at the Open Market Committee meetings. They raised rates not because … Continue reading Why did the Fed raise rates? For the opposite of the reason they gave…