Consequences of US torture. A snapshot of a tottering Republic going through the motions of “debate”.

Summary:  What are the consequences for the US from its use of torture on a scale with few precedents among developed nations in the modern era (and those examples considered shameful)? We can only guess, but there are some obvious ones -- although seldom mentioned. Also, here are a few interesting notes from the "debate".  … Continue reading Consequences of US torture. A snapshot of a tottering Republic going through the motions of “debate”.

The protesters at Ferguson might have won, but choose to lose

Summary: 4GW is the dominant form of warfare in our time, allowing materially weaker peoples to defeat stronger opponents. Such victories are not free; they require a group to become morally strong: cohesive, disciplined, behaving so as to gather support from others. Mere violence accomplishes nothing, as African-Americans will learn again in Ferguson MO. . … Continue reading The protesters at Ferguson might have won, but choose to lose

The Fate of Israel

Summary: As Israel has another round of conflict with one of its neighbors, we should neither overlook the toll of causalities nor focus excessively on these details. More important is the long trend. History shows the difficulty of distinguishing strong from weak players in 4GW, and that choosing the wrong grand strategy can be terminal … Continue reading The Fate of Israel

What the conflict with Iran teaches us about modern State-to-State war

Summary:  The frequency of 4GW in the post-WWII war -- insurgent and highly armed criminal syndicates -- can obscure the importance of traditional State-to-State conflict.  The conflict of US-Israel with Iran (see links to other chapters at the end) illustrates the dynamics we'll probably see during the next few decades.  That's the great theme of this series about … Continue reading What the conflict with Iran teaches us about modern State-to-State war