Stratfor: A Weakening Islamic State Still Poses a Threat

Summary: Here is a typically skillful but narrow analysis by Stratfor about the uses of terrorism, and especially by ISIS. It ignore the many examples of successful use of terrorism by insurgents (e.g., Zionists), and the s the often-decisive moral dimension of conflict (skillful terrorism can destroy a movement), I agree that ISIS will flame out … Continue reading Stratfor: A Weakening Islamic State Still Poses a Threat

In our wars the tactics of the weak confound the strong

Summary: Few things are sadder in our long war than reading prescient articles from the past which we disregarded. Like the one shown below from 2003 which not only accurately predicted our failures but explained why and how they would happen. Perhaps ten years from now you will read it again and marvel at how … Continue reading In our wars the tactics of the weak confound the strong

The War Nerd discovers van Creveld’s “power of weakness” and demography

Gary Brecher, aka The War Nerd publishing at The Exile, has written a long and fascinating article about the intersection of military and demographic trends in the 21st century.  This just sketches out his thinking.  I recommend reading the full article. "War of the Babies: When Modern Warfare and Demography Square Off, Demography Wins" Gary … Continue reading The War Nerd discovers van Creveld’s “power of weakness” and demography