Summary: Today's post looks at an important new report about the IMF, another step by economists towards recognition that we've left the post-WWII order for a new world. Now that's a world of persistent slow growth, in which repeated rounds of fiscal and monetary stimulus (conventional and unconventional) prevents recessions but cannot reignite strong growth. … Continue reading The IMF warns us of economic stagnation & suggests fixes. We should listen.
Summary: US growth is slowing when it should be accelerating as we shake off the effects of the crash. The possibility of a fifth year of slow growth strengthens fears of stagnation like that afflicting Japan since 1990. Yet there's good reason to suspect that a new industrial revolution has begun, potentially generating incredible new … Continue reading Do we face secular stagnation or a new industrial revolution?
Summary: When I first warned about the "robot revolution" (the 3rd industrial revolution) 3 years ago, I was one of a minority. Experts assured us it would produce quick benefits without much disruption (unlike the previous 2). Time has brought new evidence, and now concern has replaced confidence. Today we review the problem. The next … Continue reading At last economists see the robot revolution. Here’s why they worry.