Today's post tells about the corruption of yet another vital American institution - climate science. See how RCP8.5, a valuable worst-case scenario, has been misrepresented to incite fear in the American public.
A 10% hit to GDP from climate change! It's a vivid number for Americans still skeptical after thirty years of dire warnings about climate change. It's fake.
Let's trace one reason for its failure, starting with a new paper back through time to the original error. It is never too late to learn and change course.
Summary: The public policy choices we make about climate policy depend on the future that we expect. Here Roger Pielke Jr. describes an example of how climate scenarios too often misrepresent what we know about our world and its likely futures. "Pielke on Climate" - part 3 of 3. The Politics of Inconceivable Scenarios. By … Continue reading Roger Pielke Jr.: the politics of unlikely climate scenarios
Summary: Now that the alarmists have had their day trumpeting the IPCC's worst case scenario (it's unlikely and becoming more so), let's look at their best case scenario (hidden by journalists). The risk probabilities are asymmetric: the good news is more likely than the bad news. This is inspirational, telling people that we can make … Continue reading The IPCC gives us good news about climate change, but we don’t listen