Summary: A common rebuttal to "peak oil" is to show that we are not running out of oil. While true and comforting, this is irrelevant and can blind us to the serious danger of declining oil production. Things will certainly work out in the long run, but that will not offset pain during our lives … Continue reading An effective rebuttal to warnings about Peak Oil?
Summary: The polywell is one of the most promising of fusion technologies. This post describes its history and potential. But the significant lesson from this is America's irrational policy for investing in its future. Also, see the updates posted in the comments! The Polywell has come up in the comments several times, so perhaps deserves an … Continue reading Fusion energy, too risky a bet for America (we prefer to rely on war)
Summary: Robert Hirsch describes another form of Peak Oil: political peaking. Perhaps the Middle Eastern nations can produce more oil to meet the world's growing thirst -- but will they? Is it in their interest to do so? Also, the focus of doomsters on shockwaves -- instantaneous and large production cuts -- ignores the more likely … Continue reading The most dangerous form of Peak Oil
Forecasts of oil production are converging as better data and analysis eliminate many possible scenarios -- including the apocalyptic ones so beloved by doomsters. The experts in this group look for an imminent (starting somewhere in the next few years) peak in liquid fuels (petroleum & biofuels) production, followed by either a long plateau or a slow decline. These five … Continue reading Good news about Global Oil Production!
To learn more about Peak Oil, I strongly recommend reading the work of Robert Hirsch. Here is a brief biography. These articles are clear, insightful, and well-supported. "The Energy Plateau", Public Utilities Reports (1 May 1996) Electric Power from Renewable Energy: Practical Realities for Policy-Makers (a slide presentation based on his December 2002 article in the … Continue reading Links to articles and presentations of some A-team energy experts