Summary: We have had many episodes of lone wolf terrorism. Each produces a tsunami of stories, but so far no strategic effects. Here Stratfor examines grassroots terrorism, helping us to better know what to expect. Putting Grassroots Terrorism in the Proper Perspective Lead analyst: Scott Stewart. Stratfor, 8 December 2016. When it comes to claiming … Continue reading Stratfor cuts through the hype about grassroots terrorism
Summary: The fall of Fallujah and the Ramadan attacks mark a decisive retreat of the jihadist (led by ISIS) from Mao's Phase 3 operations (holding areas) back to Phase 2 (attacks on the government, terrorism). Last week Stratfor looked at Fallujah; here is their analysis of the Ramadan attacks. Eventually it will get crushed as … Continue reading Stratfor: What the Ramadan Attacks Reveal About ISIS
Summary: Here Stratfor addresses one of the central myths of 21st century US politics -- that the government should provide total security to its citizens, who happily trade away their rights in exchange for this chimera. We can free ourselves from these fears! Debunking the Myth of Total Security Lead analyst: Scott Stewart Stratfor, 14 … Continue reading Stratfor: Debunking the Myth of Total Security
Summary: With hysteria building in the West about terrorism, Stratfor provides an analytical look at the origins of terrorism -- an understanding essential if we are to prevent it from spreading. This discussion will not, of course, affect the public debate which is driven mostly by fiction and fear. How Terrorist Trends Develop By Scott … Continue reading Stratfor: Terrorism doesn’t ‘just happen’. Here’s how it develops.
Summary: Here is a typically skillful but narrow analysis by Stratfor about the uses of terrorism, and especially by ISIS. It ignore the many examples of successful use of terrorism by insurgents (e.g., Zionists), and the s the often-decisive moral dimension of conflict (skillful terrorism can destroy a movement), I agree that ISIS will flame out … Continue reading Stratfor: A Weakening Islamic State Still Poses a Threat