Summary: Trump has received much applause for bombing Syria. Republicans, Democrats, journalists, and geopolitical gurus all cheered. Here insightful defense analyst Chuck Spinney asks inconvenient questions about the lack of evidence and illogic of the "Assad did it" story. This is a follow-up to Before believing the new Syria sarin attack story, ask if the 2013 story was … Continue reading Chuck Spinney explains why both parties love the Syria poison gas story
Summary: Stratfor gives the standard story about Trump's attack on Syria. But we were told similar confident stories about al-Assad in 2013, which slowly eroded away (until resurfacing now as needed, shiney as new). Given the US government's history of lying about such things, extreme skepticism is warranted. Here is the Stratfor report, followed by … Continue reading Before believing the new Syria sarin attack story, ask if the 2013 story was true
Summary: Martin van Creveld is one of the top experts on modern war. That means non-trinitarian war, more commonly known as fourth generation war (4GW). Today he gives a typically brilliant briefing on the war in Syria, more similar to the Thirty Years War than anything in recent history. While a tiny and poor nation. … Continue reading Martin van Creveld warns us about Syria
Summary: Iraq forces (army & militia) have retaken Fallujah, another step by Jihad 2.0 (ISIS) towards its inevitable end. Here Stratfor describes why ISIS loses, along with the obligatory hopes that this begins the reunification of the Sunni Arab regions back into Iraq (hopes for a return of the Kurds are long gone). Read this … Continue reading Stratfor: Why ISIS lost Fallujah. What will jihad 3.0 look like?
Summary: As I and others expected, the mad tactics and strategy of ISIS has resulted in a series of defeats. Here Stratfor evaluates the actual strength of ISIS, its strategic position, and likely future moves. The late American strategist John Boyd (Colonel, USAF) said that a grand strategy focused our nation’s actions — political, economic, … Continue reading Stratfor: Why the Islamic State Is Weaker Than It Seems