Karl Popper explains how to open the deadlocked climate policy debate

Summary: Many factors have frozen the public policy debate, but none more important than the disinterest of both sides in tests that might provide better evidence -- and perhaps restart the discussion. Even worse, too little thought has been given to the criteria for validating climate science theories (aka their paradigm) and the models build … Continue reading Karl Popper explains how to open the deadlocked climate policy debate

A key to understanding the news: the unexpected rules in our age of wonders.

Summary: We're in an age of wonders where the news overflows with unexpected events, things not predicted by even our greatest experts. Today we discuss two common responses to this, both ineffective: blindly accepting experts' explanations that it's all understood, and throwing away their advice as imperfect. There is a third and better way.  {2nd … Continue reading A key to understanding the news: the unexpected rules in our age of wonders.

Magical theories of science & how they influence us

Summary: Today we have an article by Professor Judith Curry that goes to the heart of the climate science debates, about epistemology (the philosophy of knowing) and the process of science. As we see here, we can do it better -- and must in order to meet the challenges of the 21st century. "Magical theories" by … Continue reading Magical theories of science & how they influence us

Arrows in the Eagle’s claw – about 4GW analysts

This series describes the various types of solutions to modern warfare, herein called fourth generation warfare (4GW).  It sketches out a typology, showing the five types of writings about 4GW, their relationship to one another and their relative potential. Analysts - the foundation of the pyramid.  All solutions rely on sound analysis. Visionaries -bold imaginations seek solutions to … Continue reading Arrows in the Eagle’s claw – about 4GW analysts