Marriage today – and its dystopian future
Technology and ideology have radically changed gender relations in America. Many articles discuss what is happening now, but few speculate about the future. Perhaps we should fear the future.
thomas kuhn
Thomas Kuhn tells us what we need to know about climate science
Summary: The history of science provides a vital perspective for anyone watching our time’s high stakes climate science debate. Look at Twitter and you will see the theories of the great Thomas Kuhn at work, helping us better understand the public policy debate. {1st of 2 posts today.} “First they ignore you. Then they ridicule …
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In the center ring: scientists debate the process of climate science
Summary: Here’s one of the best conversations I’ve seen about the state and process of climate science (not the technical details for professionals). If he were alive, Thomas Kuhn would smile at this evidence that his theory so well describes the workings of science — on which we rely for prosperity and perhaps survival. The …
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We must rely on forecasts by computer models. Are they reliable?
Summary: Computer models have opened a new era across the many fields of science. Our confidence in their forecasts has opened a new era in scientists’ ability to influence public policy. Now come the questions. How can we determine the accuracy and reliability of these models, knowing when their forecasts deserve our confidence? What can …
We must rely on forecasts by computer models. Are they reliable? Read More »
Causes of the financial crisis (no, its not the usual list)
Summary: Much of the analysis of this great crisis — now clearly the worst since the 1930’s — focuses on minute, even trivial, aspects of the problem. This is natural, as its sweep and magnitude dwarf anything seen during our lifetimes (for most of us, at least). It has affected almost every business, kind of investment, …
Causes of the financial crisis (no, its not the usual list) Read More »