Thomas Kuhn tells us what we need to know about climate science

Summary: The history of science provides a vital perspective for anyone watching our time's high stakes climate science debate. Look at Twitter and you will see the theories of the great Thomas Kuhn at work, helping us better understand the public policy debate.  {1st of 2 posts today.} “First they ignore you. Then they ridicule … Continue reading Thomas Kuhn tells us what we need to know about climate science

In the center ring: scientists debate the process of climate science

Summary:  Here's one of the best conversations I've seen about the state and process of climate science (not the technical details for professionals). If he were alive, Thomas Kuhn would smile at this evidence that his theory so well describes the workings of science -- on which we rely for prosperity and perhaps survival.  The … Continue reading In the center ring: scientists debate the process of climate science

We must rely on forecasts by computer models. Are they reliable?

Summary: Computer models have opened a new era across the many fields of science. Our confidence in their forecasts has opened a new era in scientists' ability to influence public policy. Now come the questions. How can we determine the accuracy and reliability of these models, knowing when their forecasts deserve our confidence? What can … Continue reading We must rely on forecasts by computer models. Are they reliable?

Causes of the financial crisis (no, its not the usual list)

Summary:  Much of the analysis of this great crisis -- now clearly the worst since the 1930's -- focuses on minute, even trivial, aspects of the problem.  This is natural, as its sweep and magnitude dwarf anything seen during our lifetimes (for most of us, at least).  It has affected almost every business, kind of investment, … Continue reading Causes of the financial crisis (no, its not the usual list)