Irma might defeat the skeptics and end the climate wars

Model of a hurricane.

Houston is under water after the impact of Harvey, a category 4 hurricane. Irma, a Cat 5, might brush by or even hit Miami. Such moments are ideal for a thought experiment (Gedankenexperiment in the original German). How might a catastrophic hurricane season change the politics of the climate change wars -- the debate about … Continue reading Irma might defeat the skeptics and end the climate wars

Ten years after Katrina: let’s learn from those predictions of more & bigger hurricanes

Summary -- Most 10-year anniversary articles about Katrina omit one chapter of that sad story: its exploitation by climate activists. They predicted more and stronger hurricanes. Let's grade them. Every time activists falsely cry "wolf" we become weaker, less able to prepare for real threats. Remembering is the first step to learning. “Sooner or later, … Continue reading Ten years after Katrina: let’s learn from those predictions of more & bigger hurricanes

Nine years after Katrina, climate activists have earned their reward. We might pay dearly for it.

Summary: We rely on warnings about threats from our watchmen, experts or amateurs, who see danger before we can. Our ability to respond depends on the clarity of their warnings. Sometimes we don't listen; sometimes they're wrong. Sometimes we suffer because they minimize the danger or exaggerate the time until it arrives. Climate activists have … Continue reading Nine years after Katrina, climate activists have earned their reward. We might pay dearly for it.

Let’s prepare for past climate instead of bickering about predictions of climate change

Summary: Another post about our FAILure to learn from experience. During the past decade scientists have given scores or hundreds of warnings that we're not prepared for the re-occurrence of past natural events.  While we bicker about the possibility of future climate change, we remains poorly prepared for normal extreme events. Articles on the FM … Continue reading Let’s prepare for past climate instead of bickering about predictions of climate change

Some good news about our changing climate. Enjoy it, for it might not last long.

Summary: A people can be shaped by controlling their information, altering their perception of the world by filtering what they learn. We see that today in the debate about one of the potentially largest challenges of the 21st century.  Climate scientists differ on their forecasts of future weather, which range from large to calamitous changes. … Continue reading Some good news about our changing climate. Enjoy it, for it might not last long.