ECRI looks at our Great Monetary Experiment: It’s Too Big to Fail

Summary: The Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), who correctly predicted the slow recovery, explains the slow growth in which the US and Japanese economies are mired, and the fantastic monetary experiment waged by central banks to prevent them slumping into recessions. Appreciate the wonders of our time. The recovery since 2008 has been difficult for … Continue reading ECRI looks at our Great Monetary Experiment: It’s Too Big to Fail

The oil bust will deepen before prices skyrocket. Even wilder swings lie ahead.

Summary: The great struggle to manage or even control oil prices again dominates the world economy and the news headlines. Yet even the basics are poorly understood, cloaked in myths and misunderstandings. Here is a quick sketch of how the oil boom brought us here, how the bust will end, who will win, and what … Continue reading The oil bust will deepen before prices skyrocket. Even wilder swings lie ahead.

How close are we to the next recession?

Summary: How close is the US economy to a recession? Here we review the evidence and draw a firm conclusion. {1st of 2 posts today.} The financial press overflows with confident forecasts about everything from individual stock prices to the fate of the overall economy. It's usually difficult to reliably predict such things with useful … Continue reading How close are we to the next recession?

What’s causing the crash in oil prices? What happens next?

Summary: Again, as so many times since 2000, oil prices dominate the news and shake the financial system. As usual, the news mixes fact and conjecture, wisdom and nonsense. Here's an introduction to the basic facts, and a strong forecast about the future of oil prices. . Contents The big picture. How big are these … Continue reading What’s causing the crash in oil prices? What happens next?

Let’s reflect on the course of the US economy. Not a pretty picture.

Summary: The monthly employment report provides the opportunity to look at the New America being built on the ruins of the own. While seldom remarked, it clearly appears in the data. Also, we take a moment to reflect on the purpose and operation of the FM website. "Big industry constantly requires a reserve army of … Continue reading Let’s reflect on the course of the US economy. Not a pretty picture.