Trump's major accomplishment might be starting a trade war with China. Or worse, starting a real war with China. Both would be acts of monumental stupidity.
Summary: The world's nations are forming new alliances. Last month we looked at the Saudi-Israel alliance. Here Stratfor looks at major nations allying against America (other powers always organize against a hegemon), starting with Russia and China. How this plays out will shape the 21st century. "The Rise of a Not-So-New World Order" By Sarang Shidore, Senior … Continue reading Stratfor describes Russia and China allying against America
Summary: William Lind gives a brilliant analysis of the situation in East Asia -- North Korea's provocations, China's fateful choices, and the response of our allies if they choose unwisely. Trump's visit to Asia provides an opportunity for him to display Bismarck-level geopolitics. "The North Korean Threat to China" By William S. Lind. From … Continue reading William Lind: China’s fateful decision about North Korea
Summary: Stratfor describes the next phase of China's expansion and its likely consequences. China's political and environmental problems are typical of what global growth will create during the next several decades. We must learn to manage this process better as we go from today's 7 billion people to the almost inevitable 10 billion by 2050. … Continue reading Stratfor describes a paradise lost to China’s ambition
As American politics has become dominated by scandals, real and imagined, China has a real scandal. All the key elements of modern China have collided -- its technology, its new business tycoons, the Party, and its people's aspirations for control. While there is little doubt about the outcome, the path to get there will reveal … Continue reading Stratfor on China’s political scandal (it’s bigger and more interesting than ours)