employment

Immigration

Update about immigration: a hot issue in 2016, forgotten in 2017

Summary: Immigration was a major issue of the 2016 election, to the discomfort of America’s ruling elites. Afterwards it was displaced by issues more important to them, such as stripping healthcare from millions and cutting taxes for the rich. It exists today in the media mostly in emotional “human interest” stories about “dreamers” (such labels …

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Four Horses

Lessons for us about AI from the horse apocalypse

Summary: Artificial intelligence has arrived. The mid-twentieth century horse apocalypse shows us what it might do to employment. It is history’s rebuttal to the pollyannas about tech. This is a follow-up to yesterday’s post — Films show us how smart machines will reshape the world. “We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short …

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TV noise

Today’s Jobs Report Is Important, But Not For The Reasons You’re Given

Summary: It’s time for the monthly festival of misinformation about the jobs report! It shows two key trends giving bad news for investors, the Fed’s governors, Team Trump, and America.  They shatter the dreams of growth that flowered in 2015 (for the third time in this expansion). This is the second of today’s two posts. May’s …

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Automation robot

The new industrial revolution has begun. Research shows more robots = fewer jobs.

Summary: Here is a milestone economics paper, showing that the new wave of automation is already a net destroyer of jobs. The next industrial revolution has begun, and the effects will accelerate from here. We have to start thinking about ways to divide the new wealth it produces — and handle the massive unemployment. “On …

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The March jobs reports shatters dreams, but might point to a stronger future for America

Summary: It’s time for the monthly festival of misinformation about the jobs report! It is ugly news for investors, the Fed’s governors, and Team Trump. But it might — perhaps — point to a stronger future for America. The Roman god Janus sees both sides of the news. So should we.  This is the second of …

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