experts

Looks like yet another false alarm. Probably no super monster El Niño coming this year

Summary: as we pass the Spring prediction “barrier”, the models become more accurate. The confident predictions of a “super” “monster” El Niño appear less likely, yet another in the endless series of false alarms by the Left’s alarmists. This is why people no longer listen, except for those who get enjoy disaster porn as entertainment. …

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Finding insights in the seas of information & misinformation

Summary: We have magnitudes greater access to information and analysis than any previous generation. Yet a look at the comments section of any website quickly shows that the information highway runs in vain. A reader asks how can we do better? “Nietzsche said the newspaper had replaced the prayer in the life of the modern …

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Learning about – and from – the super monster El Niño coming this year

Summary:   Today we update the predictions for a El Niño. It’s a valuable case study, as our response to climate change highlights America’s poor ability to process information. Normal weather (by historical standards) becomes extreme weather; scientists’ analysis gets exaggerated into climate porn. Until we become more savvy, more skeptical, reform in America might be …

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About the warnings of a monster super El Nino coming to you this year

Summary:   Today we have an example of America’s poor ability to process information. Weather reports become climate porn. Run for your lives, an El Nino comes! In fact, an El Nino appears likely in 2014-15. Perhaps a severe one, with substantial effects. But exaggerated warnings, often false, don’t help. Instead they dull our ability to …

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Should we listen to amateurs’ analysis of climate science?

Summary: What is the role of amateurs’ analysis in the climate science debate? They’re increasingly dominating the debate, even declaring the work of scientists as invalid or flawed. Are they valuable voices, or chaff — reducing this vital debate to cacophony? . Contents Are amateurs needed? Their role in the public debate Why should laypeople …

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