forecasts

Dr. Gulliver explains why America has become so fearful of the future

Summary:  Why has American’s mental processing become so dysfunctional?  As described by John Boyd, our OODA loop:  observation, orientation, decision, action.  It no longer seems to work properly?  One problem is that so much of our collective wisdom is locked away, unread.  Only by uncaring scholars.  And sometimes by children.  As we see in this passage from …

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When did “Dude” predict a recession? How severe?

Summary:  this is a follow-up to the many comments in Making us dumber, chanting “Dude, where’s my recession?” , which discussed another way the Internet can make us smarter — or dumber.  Google “Dude, where’s my recession” for a splendid example.  Thousands of hits for what might be the dumbest tagline of 2008.  That post discusses why accurate economic …

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Making us dumber, chanting “Dude, where’s my recession?”

Summary:  The Internet can make us smarter — or dumber.  Google “Dude, where’s my recession” for a splendid example.  Thousands of hits for what might be the dumbest tagline of 2008.  This post discusses why accurate economic forecasting is so difficult, what we know about current conditions, and recent warnings from one of our top economists. A …

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Peak Oil warning sign

Peak Oil Doomsters debunked, end of civilization called off

Summary:  this brief analysis of Matt Savinar‘s Life After the Oil Crash.  Are we doomed?  Probably not.  My title is, of course, fun but absurd.  Peak oil is too vast a subject, the range of expert opinion too wide, for any blog post to pose as more than a introduction — showing one perspective of …

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