Summary: How to deal with risks dominates our headlines, usually driven by single-interest groups that see only their favorite threat. Statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s latest work offers a way to identify the most serious threats facing us, and determine how much we should spend to fight each of them. It has received much attention. Is …
Nassim Nicholas Taleb looks at the risks threatening humanity Read More »
Here’s a first step to a better future: to see the big picture, list and describe each threat.
Summary: We face so many shockwaves — potentially high-impact events, usually estimated at low probability over years or decades (global warming being the exception). How do we assess the danger and decide how much of our scarce resources to allocate for prevention and mitigation of each? Today we look at two ways to assess these …
Preparing for the future: should we be precautionary or proactionary? Read More »
Summary: A reader’s comment about Breaking news: a new analysis blows more holes in the “hockey stick” temperature reconstruction. Excerpt from a reader’s comment: OK, so the data is not as clear as the hockey stick graph shows. The authors still conclude: “Our model provides a similar reconstruction but has much wider standard errors, reflecting the weak …
Damn the research! We need to act now to stop global warming. Read More »
The hacked emails and papers from the UK’s Climate Research Unit reveal the underside of climate science (as the many bizarre conclusions do the same for the anti-AGW mob). Spinning data to conceal contrary evidence, avoiding freedom of information requests, purging the profession of skeptical voices. All familiar things to anyone familiar with the history …
A look at climate science written in a cooler and more skeptical day Read More »
